Match Info

VHL

Date: 20 October 2025, Monday

Location: Ledovaya Arena A. Kozitsyna (Verkhnyaya Pyshma)


	Gornyak-UGMK		Sokol Krasnoyarsk

	1	X	2
	1.79	4.01	3.8
	1.79	4.2	3.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.8)	4.11 ↑ (3.8)	3.76 ↓ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gornyak-UGMK
52.3%

Draw
22.8%

Sokol Krasnoyarsk
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

24.6%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

22.5%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gornyak-UGMK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Sokol Krasnoyarsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gornyak-UGMK than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sokol Krasnoyarsk than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Gornyak UGMK - Sokol Krasnoyarsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Gornyak-UGMK will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Sokol Krasnoyarsk will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gornyak-UGMK (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Novosyolov N. (G)	20. Dyubin A. (G)
91. Malorosiyanov D.	19. Perfilyev A.
26. Ishimnikov N.	43. Gavrilenko I.
56. Ovchinnikov I.	87. Kolesnikov N.
79. Tarasov M.	92. Yakovlev Y. (A)
96. Miller N.	10. Knyazev A. (C)
Line 2
4. Bolshakov M.	79. Gerikh M.
90. Nekrasov N.	77. Elizarov P.
7. Gordin A.	66. Shuidin N.
10. Filyayev V.	15. Tsyplakov A.
32. Borisov S.	25. Kazakov K.
Line 3
23. Gamzakov M.	5. Krasnov A.
92. Valitov D. (A)	47. Martynov Y.
29. Khremkin K.	81. Makarov R.
14. Makhrin M. (A)	17. Voronin A. (A)
44. Lukhovskoy N.	11. Polishchuk Z.
Line 4
95. Dumchenko N.	95. Korchagin O.
16. Myslyayev S.	34. Dzhioshvili V.
59. Razdyakonov V.	18. Abyanov R.
13. Zaytsev O. (C)
80. Demidovich V.
Substitutes
20. Obvintsev T. (G)	88. Todykov A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
13:22, 0 - 1, Knyazev A. (G), Kolesnikov N. (A), Yakovlev Y. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
02:59, 1 - 1, Filyayev V. (G), Bolshakov M. (A), Gordin A. (A2)
11:30, 1 - 2, Korchagin O. (G), Krasnov A. (A), Abyanov R. (A2)
13:59, 1 - 3, Martynov Y. (G),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
00:04, 2 - 3, Lukhovskoy N. (G), Makhrin M. (A), Khremkin K. (A2)
19:47, 2 - 4, Dzhioshvili V. (G), Kazakov K. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gornyak-UGMK won 2.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Gornyak-UGMK may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Gornyak-UGMK is considered a favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Gornyak-UGMK won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 34:50. (average 2:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Gornyak-UGMK won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:30. (average 2:3.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Gornyak-UGMK - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 51.92%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Sokol Krasnoyarsk - the odds 3.98 are the expected chance of winning is 23.48%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gornyak-UGMK
VHL
18.10.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Norilsk	4:1 ✺
13.10.25	SKA-VMF - Gornyak-UGMK	2:3 OT ✺
11.10.25	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Gornyak-UGMK	2:4 ✺
05.10.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	0:2 ✺
03.10.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Chelny	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWWLW
- Sokol Krasnoyarsk
VHL
18.10.25	Chelmet - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	2:3 ✺
16.10.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	4:1 ✺
14.10.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	1:3 ✺
09.10.25	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Torpedo-Gorky	3:2 penalties ✺
07.10.25	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Khimik	3:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
16.03.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	5:4 OT
13.09.24	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Gornyak-UGMK	4:3 OT
18.12.23	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Gornyak-UGMK	1:2
28.10.23	Gornyak-UGMK - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	2:5
24.01.23	Gornyak-UGMK - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	0:2
30.09.22	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Gornyak-UGMK	4:2
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
12.08.22	Gornyak-UGMK - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	2:6

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