Match Info

VHL

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Ice Palace (Saint Petersburg)


	SKA-VMF		Gornyak-UGMK

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.65	3.58
	1.67	3.55	3.5
	1.89	4.09	3.38	Watch
	1.77	4	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.02)	3.82 ↓ (4.05)	3.52 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SKA-VMF
51%

Draw
23.5%

Gornyak-UGMK
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

23.2%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

26.2%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SKA-VMF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Gornyak-UGMK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SKA-VMF than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gornyak-UGMK than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

SKA VMF - Gornyak UGMK Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Gornyak-UGMK will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
87. Popov D. (G)	50. Zinaddin L. (G)
57. Sevostyanov A.	26. Ishimnikov N.
85. Zhuravlev Y.	8. Karpovich D.
47. Nedopyokin N.	91. Makeyev A. (C)
15. Busarov G. (C)	13. Zaytsev O. (A)
10. Popov D.	80. Demidovich V.
Line 2
5. Yarullin A.	62. Shchuchinov A.
6. Lukichyov A.	72. Trofimov Y.
97. Nugmanov A.	70. Alexeyev Y.
17. Kabush M. (A)	14. Makhrin M. (A)
91. Lutfullin I.	44. Lukhovskoy N.
Line 3
81. Varlakov A.	94. Kaigorodov G.
14. Shekhovtsov Y.	28. Sitnikov V.
38. Gurzanov Y.	71. Velikov M.
32. Barabanov V.	27. Yepishchev I.
18. Slivchenko M.	96. Miller N.
Line 4
80. Gryaznov G. (A)	23. Gamzakov M.
88. Kapchuk S.	22. Molodtsov D.
95. Shevchenko D.	63. Isayev D.
22. Sorokin Y.	18. Sushchev V.
	32. Borisov S.
Substitutes
73. Podlyagin N. (G)	35. Tulinov N. (G)
31. Saranchuk G. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
05:36, 1 - 0, Shevchenko D. (G), Lukichyov A. (A), Sorokin Y. (A2)
15:02, 1 - 1, Alexeyev Y. (G), Shchuchinov A. (A), Lukhovskoy N. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
17:28, 2 - 1, Nedopyokin N. (G), Lutfullin I. (A), Lukichyov A. (A2)
18:21, 3 - 1, Sevostyanov A. (G), Busarov G. (A), Shevchenko D. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SKA-VMF won 4.

In recent outings, SKA-VMF has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Gornyak-UGMK shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Gornyak-UGMK could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

SKA-VMF is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, SKA-VMF has recorded 14 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 70:52 (averaging 3.5:2.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for SKA-VMF against this opponent, the record stands at 9 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 41:26 goals (averaging 3.7:2.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
14	SKA-VMF St. Petersburg	11	5	2	0	4	27:21	14

Last Results with these Odds

SKA-VMF - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 46.5%, but this team recently wins 89% of matches with these odds.

Gornyak-UGMK - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 30.3%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SKA-VMF St. Petersburg
VHL
18.09.26	SKA-VMF - Chelmet	3:2 ✺
16.09.26	SKA-VMF - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	2:1 penalties ✺
14.09.26	SKA-VMF - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	2:3 ✺
09.09.26	Molot Perm - SKA-VMF	3:2 ✺
07.09.26	Toros Neftekamsk - SKA-VMF	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLLL
- Gornyak-UGMK
VHL
10.09.26	Gornyak-UGMK - Chelmet	5:0 ✺
06.09.26	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Gornyak-UGMK	0:1 OT ✺
04.09.26	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Gornyak-UGMK	3:4 penalties ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
28.08.26	Gornyak-UGMK - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:5 ✺
27.08.26	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Gornyak-UGMK	3:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Ice Hockey
13.08.26	SKA-VMF - Gornyak-UGMK	3:1
VHL
05.02.26	Gornyak-UGMK - SKA-VMF	1:3
13.10.25	SKA-VMF - Gornyak-UGMK	2:3 OT
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
12.08.25	SKA-VMF - Gornyak-UGMK	4:3
VHL
06.02.25	Gornyak-UGMK - SKA-VMF	2:4
17.10.24	SKA-VMF - Gornyak-UGMK	4:5 OT
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
25.08.24	SKA-VMF - Gornyak-UGMK	7:4

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