The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Dinamo St. Petersburg 38.7%
Draw 24.6%
Gornyak-UGMK 36.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.3%
22.9%
31.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.8%
27.2%
26.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dinamo St. Petersburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dinamo St. Petersburg's form might have worsened.
Gornyak-UGMK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo St. Petersburg than the current prediction. (+15.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dinamo St. Petersburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gornyak-UGMK than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gornyak-UGMK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
66.7%
33.3%
Dinamo St. Petersburg - Gornyak UGMK Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Gornyak-UGMK will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
01:55, 0 - 1, Makarov R. (G), Miller N. (A), Yepishchev I. (A2)
04:00, 1 - 1, Savushkin K. (G), Golikov M. (A),
06:07, 1 - 2, Lukhovskoy N. (G), Makhrin M. (A),
06:42, 2 - 2, Rasskazov K. (G), Kazakovtsev I. (A), Kalinin M. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
12:04, 2 - 3, Zaytsev O. (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dinamo SP won 1.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Gornyak-UGMK could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Dinamo SP has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 70:55 (averaging 3.5:2.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Dinamo SP against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with 42:37 goals (averaging 3.5:3.1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
17
Dinamo St. Petersburg
12
5
1
1
5
35:39
13
Last Results with these Odds
Gornyak-UGMK - the odds 2.95 are the expected chance of winning is 31.8%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.