The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gornyak-UGMK 37.3%
Draw 24.8%
Neftyanik Almetyevsk 37.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
35.5%
23.4%
41.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.9%
25.2%
44.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gornyak-UGMK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
Neftyanik Almetyevsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gornyak-UGMK than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftyanik Almetyevsk than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Neftyanik Almetyevsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
33.3%
33.3%
Gornyak UGMK - Neftyanik Almetyevsk Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Gornyak-UGMK will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Neftyanik Almetyevsk will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
11:42, 0 - 1, Khlopotov V. (G), Rakhimullin A. (A), Ionov S. (A2)
15:37, 1 - 1, Makeyev A. (G), Alexeyev Y. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (2 - 3)
1, Galeyev I. (Penalty Shot),
1, Miller N. (Penalty Shot),
2, Govorkov M. (Penalty Shot),
2, Zaytsev O. (Penalty Shot),
3, Kulikov P. (Penalty Shot),
3, Alexeyev Y. (Penalty Shot),
4, Govorkov R. (Penalty Shot),
4, Yepishchev I. (Penalty Shot),
5, Khokhryakov P. (Penalty Shot),
5, (Penalty Shot),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gornyak-UGMK won 3.
Gornyak-UGMK is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Neftyanik Almetyevsk has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Gornyak-UGMK could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Gornyak-UGMK has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Our forecast points to a victory for Gornyak-UGMK in today's match, at odds of 2.37.
In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Gornyak-UGMK has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 48:50 (averaging 2.7:2.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Gornyak-UGMK against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 22:24 goals (averaging 2.4:2.7 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
4
Almetyevsk
17
7
6
0
4
49:33
26
Last Results with these Odds
Gornyak-UGMK - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 35.47%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.