The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Guelph Storm 57.3%
Draw 20%
Brampton Steelheads 22.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.7%
21.8%
28.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.4%
21.9%
28.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guelph Storm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guelph Storm's performance.
Brampton Steelheads has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brampton Steelheads might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guelph Storm than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guelph Storm that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brampton Steelheads than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brampton Steelheads could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Jovanovski Z. (G)
31. Bowen Z. (G)
13. Beauchesne Q. (A)
42. Amado M.
89. Belohorsky S.
26. Amidovski N.
3. Frossard E.
10. Ardagh K.
73. Gallacher L.
16. Black S.
75. Haponenko M.
11. Bottineau J.
91. Hopkins T.
44. Cartwright O.
19. Jenken N.
9. Demiglio J.
93. McFadden W.
18. Eggleton W.
72. McKenzie H.
8. Gee R. (A)
15. Miedema E.
4. Green P.
20. Serlin L.
58. Hicks C.
81. Shybinskyi I.
15. Larmand L.
4. Singh R.
14. Nyman Z.
9. Snelgrove P.
77. Patton T. (A)
21. Spada G.
73. Richmond M. (A)
96. Stevens C.
64. Roy M.
12. Topp R. (A)
97. Stankoven M.
77. Wycisk J.
47. Williams J.
Substitutes
55. Ellsworth C. (G)
96. Johnson L. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
02:20, 0 - 1, Ardagh K. (G), Hicks C. (A), Demiglio J. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
13:54, 0 - 2, Ardagh K. (G), Hicks C. (A), Demiglio J. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
09:14, 0 - 3, Cartwright O. (G), Demiglio J. (A), Roy M. (A2)
15:13, 0 - 4, Ardagh K. (G), Demiglio J. (A),
18:42, 1 - 4, Stevens C. (G), Jenken N. (A), Hopkins T. (A2)
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ) and 9).
Guelph is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Brampton has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Brampton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Brampton has had a series of away games.
Guelph might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Guelph won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:26. (average 3:6.5).
Including home match between the teams, Guelph won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:10.
Watch
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Jovanovski Z. (G) 
Belohorsky S. 
Haponenko M. 
Stankoven M. 
Williams J. 
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