Match Info

OHL

Date: 9 January 2026, Friday

Location: Sleeman Centre (Guelph, ON)


	Guelph Storm		Barrie Colts

	1	X	2
	2.88	4.46	1.94
	2.5	4.2	2.15
	2.75	4.3	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.21)	4.32 ↑ (4.22)	2.01 ↓ (2.43)

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guelph Storm
33.6%

Draw
21.1%

Barrie Colts
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

21.5%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

23.4%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guelph Storm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guelph Storm's form might have worsened.

Barrie Colts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barrie Colts's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guelph Storm than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barrie Colts than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
55. Ellsworth C. (G)	62. Hrebik B. (G)
17. Babin P.	77. Aitcheson K. (A)
13. Beauchesne Q. (A)	29. Beaudoin C. (C)
3. Frossard E.	14. Crombie C.
73. Gallacher L.	2. Desiderio N.
75. Haponenko M.	78. Eliasson G.
91. Hopkins T.	41. Emerton C.
93. McFadden W.	25. Gardiner B. (A)
72. McKenzie H.	16. Handsor J.
15. Miedema E.	28. Hemming E.
20. Serlin L.	85. Lowe C.
81. Shybinskyi I.	83. McCormick J.
4. Singh R.	84. Newton J.
9. Snelgrove P.	88. Passmore E. (A)
28. Soares C.	15. Salandra J.
21. Spada G.	11. Schneid W.
12. Topp R. (A)	6. Von Richter P.
77. Wycisk J.	53. Wilmott B.
	19. Zebeski M.
Substitutes
30. Jovanovski Z. (G)	1. Jaswal A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 3)
01:36, 0 - 1, Beaudoin C. (G),
03:00, 1 - 1, Shybinskyi I. (G), Beauchesne Q. (A), McFadden W. (A2)
10:24, 1 - 2, Aitcheson K. (G), Gardiner B. (A), Zebeski M. (A2)
12:27, 1 - 3, Aitcheson K. (G), Hemming E. (A), Beaudoin C. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 2)
02:32, 1 - 4, Emerton C. (G), Schneid W. (A),
09:56, 1 - 5, Wilmott B. (G), Beaudoin C. (A), Von Richter P. (A2)
15:18, 2 - 5, Serlin L. (G), Gallacher L. (A), Miedema E. (A2)
15:54, 3 - 5, McFadden W. (G), Spada G. (A), Shybinskyi I. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
10:05, 3 - 6, Newton J. (G), Desiderio N. (A),

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guelph won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Barrie may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guelph won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 60:78. (average 3:3.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Guelph won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 36:25. (average 3.6:2.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Guelph Storm - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 41.07%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guelph Storm
OHL
07.01.26	Owen Sound Attack - Guelph Storm	1:4 ✺
04.01.26	Guelph Storm - Peterborough Petes	3:2 penalties ✺
02.01.26	Guelph Storm - Brantford Bulldogs	6:4 ✺
31.12.25	Kingston Frontenacs - Guelph Storm	5:3 ✺
30.12.25	Ottawa 67s - Guelph Storm	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WWWLL
- Barrie Colts
OHL
03.01.26	Barrie Colts - Niagara IceDogs	4:5 OT ✺
02.01.26	Kitchener Rangers - Barrie Colts	2:3 penalties ✺
31.12.25	Barrie Colts - Sudbury Wolves	4:1 ✺
28.12.25	North Bay Battalion - Barrie Colts	1:3 ✺
20.12.25	Barrie Colts - London Knights	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

OHL
20.09.25	Barrie Colts - Guelph Storm	6:2
26.02.25	Guelph Storm - Barrie Colts	4:5 penalties
26.10.24	Barrie Colts - Guelph Storm	6:1
18.11.23	Barrie Colts - Guelph Storm	5:4 penalties
20.10.23	Guelph Storm - Barrie Colts	3:1
31.12.22	Barrie Colts - Guelph Storm	8:0
16.12.22	Guelph Storm - Barrie Colts	2:3 OT

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