The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Guelph Storm 34.4%
Draw 21%
Brantford Bulldogs 44.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.9%
19.6%
54.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.8%
18%
59.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guelph Storm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guelph Storm's performance.
Brantford Bulldogs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brantford Bulldogs might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guelph Storm than the current prediction. (-10.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guelph Storm that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brantford Bulldogs than the current prediction. (+14.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brantford Bulldogs could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Jovanovski Z. (G)
31. Leenders R. (G)
17. Babin P.
34. Banas J.
13. Beauchesne Q. (A)
37. Bogart H.
73. Gallacher L.
11. Boulton R.
75. Haponenko M.
71. Buchman D.
91. Hopkins T.
14. Chamberlain R.
93. McFadden W.
13. Christie G.
72. McKenzie H.
24. Dennis C.
15. Miedema E.
15. Engle E.
26. Naish Z.
8. Freeman J.
23. Paquette C. (C)
26. Govedaris P.
20. Serlin L.
76. Hankai C.
81. Shybinskyi I.
53. Holmes P.
4. Singh R.
27. Malhotra C.
9. Snelgrove P.
12. Protz O. (A)
21. Spada G.
19. Rossetto N.
96. Stevens C.
72. Sandhu Z. (A)
77. Wycisk J.
91. Testa L.
18. Tsherna D.
Substitutes
55. Ellsworth C. (G)
88. Egorov D. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (5 - 3)
01:02, 1 - 0, McFadden W. (G), Serlin L. (A), Snelgrove P. (A2)
04:35, 2 - 0, Gallacher L. (G), Serlin L. (A), McKenzie H. (A2)
07:16, 2 - 1, Dennis C. (G), Malhotra C. (A), Hankai C. (A2)
07:50, 3 - 1, Hopkins T. (G), Singh R. (A), Wycisk J. (A2)
08:33, 4 - 1, Paquette C. (G), Babin P. (A),
10:32, 4 - 2, Dennis C. (G), Freeman J. (A), Malhotra C. (A2)
12:05, 5 - 2, Miedema E. (G), Beauchesne Q. (A), Babin P. (A2)
18:08, 5 - 3, Holmes P. (G), Govedaris P. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
00:37, 5 - 4, Dennis C. (G), Sandhu Z. (A),
18:05, 6 - 4, Gallacher L. (G), Snelgrove P. (A), Miedema E. (A2)
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: )).
Guelph is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Brantford has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Guelph may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
In this match, Brantford is the team to beat.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guelph won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:22. (average 3.4:4.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Guelph won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:17. (average 2.7:5.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Guelph Storm - the odds 3.5 are the expected chance of winning is 25.91%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.
Brantford Bulldogs - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 54.52%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.