Match Info

OHL

Date: 19 December 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Sudbury Community Arena (Greater Sudbury, ON) 🌤️ ...


	Sudbury Wolves		Guelph Storm

	1	X	2
	1.98	4.4	2.81
	1.96	4.47	2.83	Watch
	1.95	4.2	2.75
	1.95	4.3	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.69)	4.34 ↑ (4.28)	2.79 ↑ (2.07)

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sudbury Wolves
46.4%

Draw
20.9%

Guelph Storm
32.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.2%

21.5%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

21%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sudbury Wolves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sudbury Wolves's performance.

Guelph Storm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guelph Storm might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sudbury Wolves than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sudbury Wolves that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guelph Storm than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guelph Storm could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Frasca P.	78. Reznik C. (G)
72. Bennett B.	17. Babin P.
44. Berehowsky D.	13. Beauchesne Q. (A)
93. Blonda L.	3. Frossard E.
19. Clayton B.	14. Johnston S.
9. Coughlan C.	93. McFadden W.
11. Dean E.	72. McKenzie H.
7. Ewles G.	8. Mclean A.
84. Gonchar A.	15. Miedema E.
77. Henderson R. (A)	26. Naish Z.
18. Ladds L.	22. Pape M.
13. Martin H.	23. Paquette C. (C)
4. O'Dell T.	20. Serlin L.
21. Pharand A. (A)	81. Shybinskyi I.
97. Provorov V.	4. Singh R.
57. Smith B.	9. Snelgrove P.
88. Ula P.	28. Soares C.
89. Villeneuve N. (C)	96. Stevens C.
22. Walton K. (A)	77. Wycisk J.
Substitutes
31. Bronas B. (G)	55. Ellsworth C. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
19:47, 1 - 0, Villeneuve N. (G), Walton K. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 1)
00:55, 2 - 0, Henderson R. (G), Gonchar A. (A), Clayton B. (A2)
03:25, 3 - 0, Pharand A. (G), Provorov V. (A), Ewles G. (A2)
10:34, 3 - 1, Stevens C. (G), Babin P. (A), Serlin L. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 1)
00:26, 3 - 2, Mclean A. (G), Wycisk J. (A), McFadden W. (A2)
06:42, 4 - 2, Pharand A. (G), Villeneuve N. (A),
15:26, 5 - 2, Pharand A. (G), Walton K. (A), Gonchar A. (A2)
18:45, 6 - 2, Villeneuve N. (G), Pharand A. (A), Walton K. (A2)

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 9 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sudbury won 3.

Sudbury is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Guelph has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Sudbury has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Sudbury will win today's game, with odds of 2.68.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sudbury won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 80:69. (average 4:3.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Sudbury won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 43:35. (average 4.3:3.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Guelph Storm - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 44.38%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sudbury Wolves
OHL
18.12.25	Barrie Colts - Sudbury Wolves	1:4 ✺
14.12.25	Sudbury Wolves - Brampton Steelheads	5:1 ✺
12.12.25	Sudbury Wolves - Owen Sound Attack	7:6 penalties ✺
07.12.25	Sudbury Wolves - Oshawa Generals	3:6 ✺
05.12.25	Sudbury Wolves - Sarnia Sting	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 WWWLW
- Guelph Storm
OHL
18.12.25	North Bay Battalion - Guelph Storm	6:2 ✺
14.12.25	Sarnia Sting - Guelph Storm	6:4 ✺
12.12.25	Guelph Storm - Sarnia Sting	2:3 penalties ✺
10.12.25	Flint Firebirds - Guelph Storm	9:1 ✺
07.12.25	Guelph Storm - Kitchener Rangers	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

OHL
30.11.25	Guelph Storm - Sudbury Wolves	6:2
17.02.25	Guelph Storm - Sudbury Wolves	7:6
22.11.24	Sudbury Wolves - Guelph Storm	6:2
19.02.24	Guelph Storm - Sudbury Wolves	1:4
27.10.23	Sudbury Wolves - Guelph Storm	5:2
29.01.23	Guelph Storm - Sudbury Wolves	5:4 OT
11.11.22	Sudbury Wolves - Guelph Storm	6:3

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