The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
North Bay Battalion 53.6%
Draw 19.5%
Guelph Storm 26.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
49.2%
20.1%
30.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.9%
19.4%
29.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
North Bay Battalion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
Guelph Storm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Bay Battalion than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guelph Storm than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. LIsson J. (G)
55. Ellsworth C. (G)
29. Amidovski L. (A)
13. Beauchesne Q. (A)
11. Carey R.
3. Frossard E.
18. Dubrovtsev Y.
14. Johnston S.
5. Greer K.
11. Lewandowski C.
6. Harper B.
93. McFadden W.
3. Kapageridis J.
72. McKenzie H.
8. Karmanov A.
8. Mclean A.
15. Kunopaski C.
15. Miedema E.
19. Laird N. (A)
26. Naish Z.
2. Manzo A.
22. Pape M.
24. Moses S.
23. Paquette C. (C)
22. Pereira J.
20. Serlin L.
21. Procyszyn E. (C)
81. Shybinskyi I.
20. Pronin A.
4. Singh R.
25. Ride B. (A)
9. Snelgrove P.
16. Vaughan P.
28. Soares C.
28. Wellenreiter N.
96. Stevens C.
77. Wycisk J.
Substitutes
34. McIvor M. (G)
78. Reznik C. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (3 - 0)
02:08, 1 - 0, Moses S. (G), Greer K. (A), Wellenreiter N. (A2)
12:30, 2 - 0, Harper B. (G), Procyszyn E. (A), Ride B. (A2)
19:46, 3 - 0, Procyszyn E. (G),
2nd Period (2 - 2)
00:38, 3 - 1, Serlin L. (G), Paquette C. (A),
03:37, 4 - 1, Wellenreiter N. (G), Procyszyn E. (A), Harper B. (A2)
16:58, 4 - 2, Miedema E. (G), Snelgrove P. (A), Frossard E. (A2)
17:59, 5 - 2, Greer K. (G), Carey R. (A), Dubrovtsev Y. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
15:30, 6 - 2, Carey R. (G), Dubrovtsev Y. (A), Pronin A. (A2)
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Bay won 2.
North Bay has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Guelph is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Guelph may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, North Bay has had a series of away games.
North Bay might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, North Bay won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 60:75. (average 3:3.8).
Including home matches between the teams, North Bay won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:33. (average 2.8:3.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Guelph Storm - the odds 2.99 are the expected chance of winning is 30.75%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.