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Current Win Probability
HC CSKA Moscow 58.6%
Draw 20.9%
Kunlun 20.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.4%
18.7%
17%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.2%
19.5%
16.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HC CSKA Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that HC CSKA Moscow's form might have worsened.
Kunlun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for HC CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for HC CSKA Moscow, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kunlun than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
HC CSKA Moscow - Kunlun Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
83. Khomchenko P. (G)
45. Smith J. (G)
3. Claesson F.
44. Clendening A.
89. Nesterov N. (C)
40. Lefebvre M.
8. Fateyev Y.
15. Shuai Fu (C)
94. Kamenev V. (A)
71. Campbell C.
15. Karnaukhov P. (A)
42. Rau K.
Line 2
48. Jaros C.
27. Somerby D. (A)
45. Provolnev V.
81. Pautov Y.
26. Dolzhenkov K.
94. Drozg J.
49. Chartier R.
74. Graovac T. (A)
21. Galiyev S.
9. Halbgewachs J.
Line 3
22. Williams C.
13. Duszak J.
14. Sedov N.
12. McCoshen I.
10. Afanasyev Y.
21. O'Regan D.
25. Cassels C.
20. Lockhart L.
34. Gurianov D.
32. Likhachyov Y.
Line 4
55. Okhotyuk N.
10. Wong A.
19. Drozdov I.
24. Sharov A.
27. Sorkin M.
83. Elynuik H.
13. Poltapov P.
Substitutes
33. Gamzin D. (G)
29. Rybar P. (G)
Coaches
. Vorobyov I.
. Kravets M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
05:30, Williams C. (2 min),
05:52, Duszak J. (2 min),
09:30, Elynuik H. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
02:19, 1 - 0, Poltapov P. (G), Williams C. (A),
03:59, Sedov N. (2 min),
15:04, Nesterov N. (2 min),
3rd Period (5 - 0)
04:25, Drozg J. (5 min),
04:56, 2 - 0, Kamenev V. (G), Nesterov N. (A), Poltapov P. (A2)
10:52, 3 - 0, Dolzhenkov K. (G),
11:35, 4 - 0, Gurianov D. (G), Cassels C. (A), Claesson F. (A2)
13:36, Duszak J. (5 min),
16:32, 5 - 0, Drozdov I. (G), Poltapov P. (A), Sorkin M. (A2)
18:32, 6 - 0, Nesterov N. (G), Sorkin M. (A), Kamenev V. (A2)
Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9).
Last 5 head-to-head matches CSKA won 4.
Two teams are playing changeable.
CSKA could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match CSKA is a favorite.
There will not play in CSKA: Abramov V.
(Injury)
Prosvetov I.
(Injury)
Samorukov D.
(Injury)
There will not play in Kunlun: Fu Jiang
(Injury)
Jurco T.
(Injury)
Sinyatkin S.
(Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches CSKA won 14 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 68:40 (average 3.4:2).
Including matches at home between the teams CSKA won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 39:17 (average 4.3:1.9).
Last Results with these Odds
HC CSKA Moscow - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 64.37%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.
Kunlun - the odds 5.5 are the expected chance of winning is 16.97%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.