Match Info

RUSSIA: KHL

Date: 11 March 2025, Tuesday

Location: Bolshoy Ice Dome (Sochi)


	Sochi		Kunlun

	1	X	2
	2.98	3.81	2.15
	2.89	4.2	2.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.47)	4.01 ↑ (3.9)	2.19 ↓ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sochi
32.5%

Draw
23.8%

Kunlun
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

24.1%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

23.8%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sochi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sochi's form might have worsened.

Kunlun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kunlun's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kunlun than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kunlun, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sochi - Kunlun Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
85. Tulinov N. (G)	29. Rybar P. (G)
23. Machulin V.	44. Clendening A.
14. Mokrushev D.	40. Lefebvre M.
93. Khokhlachev A. (C)	92. Jurco T.
95. Yaremchuk A.	74. Graovac T. (A)
9. Vengryzhanovsky D.	9. Halbgewachs J.
Line 2
64. Graham J.	13. Duszak J.
88. Koryagin G. (A)	12. McCoshen I.
67. Garayev A.	15. Shuai Fu (C)
34. Popov S.	71. Campbell C.
97. Seroukh D.	42. Rau K.
Line 3
28. Ibragimov S.	27. Somerby D. (A)
73. Trishin A.	84. Paigin Z.
19. Avershin D.	21. O'Regan D.
84. Shvyryov I.	20. Lockhart L.
87. Khafizov T. (A)	32. Likhachyov Y.
Line 4
38. Baklashev N.	94. Drozg J.
91. Kuznetsov A.	24. Sharov A.
79. Nikonov A.	77. Zvyagin S.
29. Vasilkov A.
Substitutes
18. Spiridonov Y.	45. Smith J. (G)
35. Volokhin Y. (G)
Coaches
. Zubov S.	. Kravets M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
00:40, Machulin V. (2 min),
05:21, 0 - 1, O'Regan D. (G),
05:31, 0 - 2, Likhachyov Y. (G), O'Regan D. (A), Lefebvre M. (A2)
05:31, Tulinov N. ↓, Volokhin Y. ↑,
2nd Period (1 - 1)
03:54, Volokhin Y. (2 min),
05:48, 0 - 3, Campbell C. (G), O'Regan D. (A), Drozg J. (A2)
06:02, 1 - 3, Khokhlachev A. (G),
12:03, Nikonov A. (2 min),
14:51, Halbgewachs J. (2 min),
14:57, Avershin D. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 2)
01:25, 1 - 4, O'Regan D. (G), McCoshen I. (A),
07:10, 1 - 5, Halbgewachs J. (G), Duszak J. (A), Graovac T. (A2)
12:58, 2 - 5, Garayev A. (G), Seroukh D. (A), Ibragimov S. (A2)
19:59, Clendening A. (2 min),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sochi won 3.

Sochi has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Kunlun is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sochi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Sochi have a series of home games.

Recently Kunlun have a series of guest games.

Kunlun will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Sochi: Ivanov S. (Injury)

There will not play in Kunlun: Fu Jiang (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Sochi won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 55:72 (average 2.8:3.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Sochi won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 34:37 (average 3.4:3.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Sochi - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 37.97%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Sochi
KHL
08.03.25	Sochi - Vityaz Balashikha	0:5 ✺
06.03.25	Sochi - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	0:3 ✺
04.03.25	Sochi - Avangard Omsk	2:3 OT ✺
02.03.25	Sochi - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	2:4 ✺
24.02.25	Sochi - Kunlun	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Kunlun Red Star
KHL
09.03.25	Dinamo Minsk - Kunlun	4:2 ✺
05.03.25	Spartak Moscow - Kunlun	2:3 penalties ✺
03.03.25	Dinamo Minsk - Kunlun	6:2 ✺
01.03.25	Dynamo Moscow - Kunlun	6:3 ✺
27.02.25	HC CSKA Moscow - Kunlun	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

KHL
24.02.25	Sochi - Kunlun	2:5
31.01.25	Kunlun - Sochi	2:4
06.12.24	Kunlun - Sochi	5:3
15.11.24	Sochi - Kunlun	6:5 OT
18.10.24	Kunlun - Sochi	0:4
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
27.08.24	Sochi - Kunlun	2:5
KHL
23.02.24	Sochi - Kunlun	6:3

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