Match Info

KHL

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday

Location: CSKA Arena (Moscow)


	HC CSKA Moscow		Shanghai Dragons

	1	X	2
	1.56	4.75	5.33
	1.5	4.91	5.61	Watch
	1.33	4.75	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.39)	4.8 ↓ (5.2)	5.48 ↓ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HC CSKA Moscow
63.6%

Draw
19.4%

Shanghai Dragons
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

17.6%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

19.4%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HC CSKA Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Shanghai Dragons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HC CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanghai Dragons than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	14.3%	57.1%

HC CSKA Moscow - Shanghai Dragons Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. CSKA will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Shanghai will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Shanghai (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
32. Samonov A. (G)	90. Tikhomirov A. (G)
98. Hollowell M.	24. Reilly W.
89. Nesterov N. (A)	28. Bischoff J. (A)
19. Drozdov I.	15. Shuai Fu (C)
15. Karnaukhov P. (C)	14. Sutter R.
97. Churkin A.	81. Popugayev N. A.
Line 2
79. Roy J.	5. Clendening A.
28. Patrikhayev I.	9. Valentsov V.
51. Kovalenko N.	17. Rendulic B.
16. Zernov D.	72. Quinney G.
72. Buchelnikov D.	37. Sucese N.
Line 3
55. Okhotyuk N.	74. Bryntsev A.
5. Samorukov D.	3. Leontyev V.
11. Abramov V.	12. Labanc K.
27. Sorkin M. (A)	16. Josephs T.
13. Poltapov P.	10. Merkley N.
Line 4
7. Ebert N.	18. Akolzin P. (A)
69. Maistrenko O.	29. Kablukov I.
63. Mingachyov T.	11. Kuznetsov V.
23. Gardner R.
21. Kalinin S.
Substitutes
33. Gamzin D. (G)	88. Shikin D. (G)
Coaches
. Nikitin I.	. Love M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 4)
04:34, 0 - 1, Merkley N. (G), Rendulic B. (A),
09:44, Reilly W. (2 min),
09:54, 0 - 2, Shuai Fu (G), Sutter R. (A),
12:17, 0 - 3, Labanc K. (G), Quinney G. (A),
13:33, 0 - 4, Shuai Fu (G), Sucese N. (A), Bischoff J. (A2)
13:33, Samonov A. ↓, Gamzin D. ↑,
15:03, Roy J. (2 min),
17:44, 1 - 4, Buchelnikov D. (G), Karnaukhov P. (A), Okhotyuk N. (A2)
18:00, 2 - 4, Zernov D. (G), Kovalenko N. (A), Churkin A. (A2)
19:24, 3 - 4, Abramov V. (G),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
07:13, Clendening A. (2 min),
08:53, Sucese N. (2 min),
11:49, Reilly W. (2 min),
13:22, Buchelnikov D. (2 min),
18:16, Poltapov P. (2 min),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
00:25, Bischoff J. (2 min),
01:05, 4 - 4, Zernov D. (G), Kovalenko N. (A), Nesterov N. (A2)
01:05, Tikhomirov A. ↓, Shikin D. ↑,
04:05, Karnaukhov P. (2 min),
04:05, Karnaukhov P. (2 min),
09:06, 4 - 5, Akolzin P. (G), Sutter R. (A), Shikin D. (A2)
12:22, 5 - 5, Ebert N. (G), Poltapov P. (A), Abramov V. (A2)
Overtime (1 - 0)
00:21, 6 - 5, Karnaukhov P. (G), Drozdov I. (A), Nesterov N. (A2)

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9).

CSKA is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Recent performances by CSKA have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Shanghai has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Shanghai may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, CSKA has had a series of away games.

In this match, CSKA is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, CSKA won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 2.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, CSKA won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 3.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC CSKA Moscow
KHL
25.02.26	HC CSKA Moscow - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	SKA Saint Petersburg - HC CSKA Moscow	3:0 ✺
17.02.26	Lada Togliatti - HC CSKA Moscow	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Shanghai Dragons - HC CSKA Moscow	1:2 OT ✺
12.02.26	Spartak Moscow - HC CSKA Moscow	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLLWW
- Shanghai Dragons
KHL
22.02.26	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Shanghai Dragons	4:1 ✺
20.02.26	Barys Astana - Shanghai Dragons	3:4 OT ✺
18.02.26	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - Shanghai Dragons	4:3 OT ✺
15.02.26	Shanghai Dragons - HC CSKA Moscow	1:2 OT ✺
12.02.26	Shanghai Dragons - Severstal Cherepovets	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

KHL
15.02.26	Shanghai Dragons - HC CSKA Moscow	1:2 OT
05.02.26	Shanghai Dragons - HC CSKA Moscow	0:1
09.01.26	HC CSKA Moscow - Shanghai Dragons	3:2
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
30.08.25	HC CSKA Moscow - Shanghai Dragons	4:2

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