Match Info

KHL

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday

Location: Barys Arena (Astana)


	Barys Astana		Shanghai Dragons

	1	X	2
	2.29	4	2.83
	2.32	4.03	2.72	Watch
	2.3	4.25	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.33)	4.09 ↓ (4.28)	2.68 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barys Astana
41.3%

Draw
23.2%

Shanghai Dragons
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

22.1%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

22.5%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barys Astana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Shanghai Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barys Astana than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanghai Dragons than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Barys Astana - Shanghai Dragons Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Barys will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Shanghai will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shanghai: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Shanghai (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Boyarkin N. (G)	90. Tikhomirov A. (G)
71. Daniyar Sam.	24. Reilly W.
2. Massie J. (A)	28. Bischoff J. (A)
88. Vecchione M.	15. Shuai Fu (C)
11. Morelli M.	14. Sutter R.
84. Savitsky K. (C)	22. Fu Jiang
Line 2
44. Walsh R.	5. Clendening A.
3. McCoshen I.	9. Valentsov V.
13. Kaiyrzhan D.	17. Rendulic B.
9. Thompson T.	72. Quinney G.
10. Willman M.	10. Merkley N.
Line 3
19. Orazov B.	74. Bryntsev A.
87. Beketayev A. (A)	27. Somerby D.
29. Lyapunov K.	12. Labanc K.
17. Omirbekov A.	16. Josephs T.
70. Simonov S.	37. Sucese N.
Line 4
93. Nikitin K.	18. Akolzin P. (A)
22. Panyukov K.	29. Kablukov I.
12. Logvin V.	91. Wagner A.
96. Asetov A.
Substitutes
41. Scheel A. (G)	88. Shikin D. (G)
Coaches
. Kravets M.	. Love M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 1)
03:51, 0 - 1, Rendulic B. (G), Merkley N. (A), Quinney G. (A2)
08:21, Logvin V. (2 min),
13:51, 1 - 1, Asetov A. (G), Walsh R. (A), Logvin V. (A2)
15:55, Labanc K. (2 min),
16:54, 2 - 1, Walsh R. (G), Vecchione M. (A), Morelli M. (A2)
17:06, Clendening A. (2 min),
17:55, 3 - 1, Morelli M. (G),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
04:05, Shuai Fu (2 min),
12:26, Rendulic B. (2 min),
19:06, Morelli M. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 2)
05:19, Merkley N. (2 min),
06:49, 3 - 2, Shuai Fu (G), Sutter R. (A),
12:00, Logvin V. (2 min),
15:37, 3 - 3, Akolzin P. (G), Merkley N. (A), Bryntsev A. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
02:48, 3 - 4, Josephs T. (G), Rendulic B. (A),

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 10 and 9).

Barys has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Shanghai has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Shanghai may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Shanghai has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Shanghai Dragons - the odds 2.53 are the expected chance of winning is 37.35%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barys Astana
KHL
17.02.26	Barys Astana - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	2:3 OT ✺
14.02.26	Barys Astana - Lada Togliatti	5:3 ✺
12.02.26	Barys Astana - SKA Saint Petersburg	0:5 ✺
04.02.26	Admiral Vladivostok - Barys Astana	1:4 ✺
02.02.26	Amur Khabarovsk - Barys Astana	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWLWL
- Shanghai Dragons
KHL
18.02.26	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - Shanghai Dragons	4:3 OT ✺
15.02.26	Shanghai Dragons - HC CSKA Moscow	1:2 OT ✺
12.02.26	Shanghai Dragons - Severstal Cherepovets	2:3 ✺
10.02.26	Shanghai Dragons - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	0:2 ✺
05.02.26	Shanghai Dragons - HC CSKA Moscow	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

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