Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday


	HIFK U20		Pelicans U20

	1	X	2
	1.6	4.5	3.35
	1.74	4.11	3.48
	1.73	4.33	3.6	Watch
	1.7	4.2	3.3
	1.73	4.2	3.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.83)	4.27 ↑ (4.2)	3.46 ↑ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HIFK U20
52.9%

Draw
21.1%

Pelicans U20
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

21.9%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

23.7%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HIFK U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Pelicans U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HIFK U20 than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with HIFK U20 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pelicans U20 than the current prediction. (+4%)

HIFK U20 - Pelicans U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 2)
02:53, 0 - 1, Paqvalin A. (G), Baf J. (A),
08:51, 0 - 2, Sipila S. (G), Baf J. (A), Pietilainen O. (A2)
11:55, 1 - 2, Penttila O. (G), Karjalainen A. (A), Tiainen H. (A2)
19:24, 2 - 2, Savolainen V. (G), Piironen V. (A), Karjalainen A. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
07:08, 3 - 2, Sinivuori L. (G), Jalasti B. (A), Lundell K. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 1)
01:24, 4 - 2, Tallqvist R. (G), Tiainen H. (A), Karjalainen A. (A2)
06:05, 5 - 2, Tiainen H. (G), Manty J. (A), Savolainen V. (A2)
12:25, 5 - 3, Amhamdi O. (G), Paqvalin A. (A), Pohjalainen A. (A2)
18:19, 6 - 3, Tuovinen A. (G), Jalasti B. (A),

Preview

Pelicans U20 is Qualified for SM~sarja U20 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HIFK U20 won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Pelicans U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Pelicans U20 has had a series of away games.

HIFK U20 might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HIFK U20 won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 59:62. (average 3:3.1).

Including home matches between the teams, HIFK U20 won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 37:37. (average 3.1:3.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	IFK Helsinki U20	12	7	1	2	2	41:25	25
6	Pelicans Lahti U20	10	7	0	0	3	37:26	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HIFK U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
28.02.26	HIFK U20 - Jokerit U20	5:4 ✺
27.02.26	Lukko U20 - HIFK U20	1:3 ✺
21.02.26	HIFK U20 - KooKoo U20	1:4 ✺
20.02.26	HIFK U20 - Jokerit U20	6:2 ✺
14.02.26	TPS U20 - HIFK U20	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLWL
- Pelicans U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
28.02.26	Pelicans U20 - KalPa U20	5:1 ✺
27.02.26	KooKoo U20 - Pelicans U20	3:2 penalties ✺
21.02.26	Ässät U20 - Pelicans U20	2:1 OT ✺
19.02.26	KalPa U20 - Pelicans U20	2:5 ✺
14.02.26	Tappara U20 - Pelicans U20	3:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
21.11.25	Pelicans U20 - HIFK U20	7:1
30.11.24	HIFK U20 - Pelicans U20	4:3
29.11.24	Pelicans U20 - HIFK U20	1:4
15.11.24	Pelicans U20 - HIFK U20	3:1
04.10.24	HIFK U20 - Pelicans U20	1:2
02.03.24	HIFK U20 - Pelicans U20	3:5
28.10.23	HIFK U20 - Pelicans U20	4:5 penalties

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