Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday


	Pelicans U20		KalPa U20

	1	X	2
	1.68	4.3	3.15
	1.67	4.33	3.61
	1.67	4.52	3.74	Watch
	1.62	4.33	3.6
	1.66	4.4	3.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.67)	4.38 ↓ (4.52)	3.57 ↓ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pelicans U20
54.2%

Draw
20.6%

KalPa U20
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

20.3%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

22.6%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pelicans U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

KalPa U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pelicans U20 than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pelicans U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KalPa U20 than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Pelicans U20 - KalPa U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
05:05, 0 - 1, Pulkkanen A. (G), Pakarinen R. (A), Hirvonen D. (A2)
07:16, 1 - 1, Haikala V. (G),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
04:51, 2 - 1, Sipila S. (G), Paqvalin J. (A), Arkko L. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 0)
03:05, 3 - 1, Sivonen V. (G), Haikala V. (A),
19', 4 - 1, (G),
19', 5 - 1, (G),

Preview

Pelicans U20 is Qualified for SM~sarja U20 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pelicans U20 won 3.

Recent performances by Pelicans U20 have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

KalPa U20 is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

KalPa U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Pelicans U20 has had a series of away games.

In this match, Pelicans U20 is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pelicans U20 won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 68:60. (average 3.4:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Pelicans U20 won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 43:30. (average 3.9:2.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
6	Pelicans Lahti U20	10	7	0	0	3	37:26	21
9	KalPa U20	10	2	5	0	3	33:31	16

Last Results with these Odds

Pelicans U20 - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 55.07%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pelicans U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
27.02.26	KooKoo U20 - Pelicans U20	3:2 penalties ✺
21.02.26	Ässät U20 - Pelicans U20	2:1 OT ✺
19.02.26	KalPa U20 - Pelicans U20	2:5 ✺
14.02.26	Tappara U20 - Pelicans U20	3:4 penalties ✺
13.02.26	HPK U20 - Pelicans U20	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLWWL
- KalPa U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
21.02.26	KalPa U20 - Tappara U20	4:3 OT ✺
19.02.26	KalPa U20 - Pelicans U20	2:5 ✺
14.02.26	Mikkelin Jukurit U20 - KalPa U20	1:4 ✺
13.02.26	KalPa U20 - Kiekko-Espoo U20	4:2 ✺
30.01.26	RoKi U20 - KalPa U20	3:9 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
19.02.26	KalPa U20 - Pelicans U20	2:5
19.12.25	Pelicans U20 - KalPa U20	2:3
06.04.25	Pelicans U20 - KalPa U20	2:5
04.01.25	Pelicans U20 - KalPa U20	5:0
20.10.24	KalPa U20 - Pelicans U20	3:4
07.10.23	Pelicans U20 - KalPa U20	1:5
29.10.22	KalPa U20 - Pelicans U20	1:3

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