Match Info

Liiga

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Pohjantahti-Areena (Hämeenlinna)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Sweden	TV4 Play


	HPK		KooKoo

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.90	2.65
	2.17	3.85	2.90
	2.29	3.56	2.73
	2.23	3.91	2.73	Watch
	2.20	3.45	2.65
	2.25	4.00	2.71
	2.18	3.80	2.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.2)	3.78 ↓ (3.95)	2.72 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HPK
41.6%

Draw
24.5%

KooKoo
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

23.6%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

25%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HPK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

KooKoo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HPK than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KooKoo than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

HPK - KooKoo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 12th in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 17th in the Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HPK won 0.

HPK is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

KooKoo has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

HPK could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Our forecast points to a victory for HPK in today's match, at odds of 2.22.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, HPK has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 60:66 (averaging 3:3.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for HPK against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 30:28 goals (averaging 3:2.8 per game).

Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now

Hameenlinna: 2.17% KooKoo: 1.09%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
12	Hameenlinna	11	3	3	0	5	23:32	15
17	KooKoo	11	1	0	1	9	22:47	4

Last Results with these Odds

HPK - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 42.43%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

KooKoo - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 33.94%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HPK Hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
09.10.26	Ässät - HPK	2:3 penalties ✺
03.10.26	HPK - Kärpät	2:1 OT ✺
02.10.26	HPK - JYP	2:1 ✺
29.09.26	Jokerit - HPK	3:0 ✺
26.09.26	HPK - Ässät	5:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WWWLW
- KooKoo
Finnish SM-liiga
09.10.26	KooKoo - Mikkelin Jukurit	4:1 ✺
Champions League Ice Hockey
06.10.26	EC KAC - KooKoo	3:5 ✺
Finnish SM-liiga
03.10.26	KooKoo - Pelicans	3:6 ✺
30.09.26	Tappara - KooKoo	3:0 ✺
26.09.26	KooKoo - Mikkelin Jukurit	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-liiga
14.02.26	HPK - KooKoo	2:4
13.02.26	KooKoo - HPK	7:3
25.10.25	HPK - KooKoo	4:5 penalties
24.10.25	KooKoo - HPK	5:2
11.03.25	HPK - KooKoo	4:6
15.02.25	KooKoo - HPK	6:3
10.12.24	KooKoo - HPK	3:4 penalties

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