Match Info

Liiga

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Pohjantahti-Areena (Hämeenlinna) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Finland	17:00	MTV Katsomo+
Sweden	16:00	TV4 Play


	HPK		KooKoo

	1	X	2
	2.15	4	2.75
	2.25	3.90	2.65
	2.35	3.7	2.8
	2.28	3.7	2.76
	2.3	3.85	2.7	Watch
	2.25	3.65	2.7
	2.24	4.05	2.7	Watch
	2.24	3.8	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.2)	3.83 ↓ (3.95)	2.72 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HPK
41.3%

Draw
24.4%

KooKoo
34.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.4%

23.6%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

24.6%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HPK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

KooKoo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HPK than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KooKoo than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

HPK - KooKoo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
65. Crespin J. (G)	34. Randelin E. (G)
43. Kukkonen M. (A)	3. Pelli A.
4. Jokirinne V.	39. Nousiainen K. (A)
95. Ranford B.	82. Meskanen V.
12. Paivarinta S. (A)	71. Siikonen M. (C)
10. Vesterinen R.	24. Miettinen V.
Line 2
7. Pyke G.	7. Parssinen J.
16. Gabrielsson H.	8. Pakaslahti A.
34. Palola O.	58. Makela M.
25. Huttunen H.	70. Davidsson M.
94. Hakulinen A. (C)	25. Holmstrom A.
Line 3
91. Piipponen S.	17. Grondahl A.
38. Wallenius E.	4. Nykyri N.
11. de Jong E.	15. Jaakola O.
15. Korhonen O.	22. Luoto O. (A)
28. Kukuca A.	55. Gallo V.
Line 4
8. Alitalo V.	6. Riekkinen J.
5. Andzans A.	20. Valkeejarvi S.
81. Oden J.	27. Makinen A.
64. Kainulainen H.	72. Tossavainen R.
44. Kopiloff O.
Substitutes
1. Saarinen K. (G)	9. Miettinen V.
	30. Patrikainen J. (G)
Coaches
. Manner M.	. Suikkanen K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
08:03, 1 - 0, Korhonen O. (G), de Jong E. (A), Jokirinne V. (A2)
12:09, 1 - 1, Grondahl A. (G), Nykyri N. (A), Meskanen V. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
12:59, Pyke G. (2 min),
15:59, Makela M. (2 min),
17:50, 2 - 1, Palola O. (G),
3rd Period (3 - 2)
01:30, Piipponen S. (2 min),
02:24, 3 - 1, Korhonen O. (G),
08:29, 3 - 2, Meskanen V. (G), Pelli A. (A), Siikonen M. (A2)
10:07, 4 - 2, de Jong E. (G), Korhonen O. (A), Jokirinne V. (A2)
14:59, 4 - 3, Luoto O. (G),
19:35, 5 - 3, Vesterinen R. (G), Paivarinta S. (A), Kainulainen H. (A2)

Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 12th in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 17th in the Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HPK won 0.

HPK is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

KooKoo has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

HPK could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Our forecast points to a victory for HPK in today's match, at odds of 2.22.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, HPK has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 60:66 (averaging 3:3.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for HPK against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 30:28 goals (averaging 3:2.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
14	Hameenlinna	18	5	3	0	10	38:51	21
17	KooKoo	18	2	1	2	13	44:75	10

Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now

Hameenlinna: 2.15% KooKoo: 0.86%

Last Results with these Odds

HPK - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 42.43%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

KooKoo - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 33.94%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HPK Hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
09.10.26	Ässät - HPK	2:3 penalties ✺
03.10.26	HPK - Kärpät	2:1 OT ✺
02.10.26	HPK - JYP	2:1 ✺
29.09.26	Jokerit - HPK	3:0 ✺
26.09.26	HPK - Ässät	5:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WWWLW
- KooKoo
Finnish SM-liiga
09.10.26	KooKoo - Mikkelin Jukurit	4:1 ✺
Champions League Ice Hockey
06.10.26	EC KAC - KooKoo	3:5 ✺
Finnish SM-liiga
03.10.26	KooKoo - Pelicans	3:6 ✺
30.09.26	Tappara - KooKoo	3:0 ✺
26.09.26	KooKoo - Mikkelin Jukurit	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-liiga
14.02.26	HPK - KooKoo	2:4
13.02.26	KooKoo - HPK	7:3
25.10.25	HPK - KooKoo	4:5 penalties
24.10.25	KooKoo - HPK	5:2
11.03.25	HPK - KooKoo	4:6
15.02.25	KooKoo - HPK	6:3
10.12.24	KooKoo - HPK	3:4 penalties

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