Match Info

Liiga

Date: 29 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Veikkaus Arena (Helsinki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Sweden	TV4 Play


	Jokerit		HPK

	1	X	2
	2.15	4.25	2.65
	2.10	4.00	2.80
	2.15	3.85	3.05	Watch
	2.2	3.73	2.86
	2.1	4.11	2.91	Watch
	2.17	3.65	2.8
	2.08	4.15	2.94	Watch
	2.08	3.9	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.2)	3.96 ↓ (4.2)	2.86 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jokerit
43.8%

Draw
23.6%

HPK
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

22.3%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

24.2%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jokerit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

HPK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jokerit than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HPK than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Jokerit - HPK Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Jokerit will win (votes: 1 - 25%). HPK will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
32. Karhunen T. (G)	1. Saarinen K. (G)
43. Krogdahl M.	43. Kukkonen M. (A)
52. Tuomola R.	4. Jokirinne V.
7. Fortier M.	94. Hakulinen A. (C)
28. Nikkanen H.	12. Paivarinta S. (A)
71. Curry P. (A)	10. Vesterinen R.
Line 2
4. Caito M.	7. Pyke G.
53. Elorinne A. (A)	39. Nychuk C.
82. Tuulola E.	11. de Jong E.
11. Virta P.	15. Korhonen O.
33. Hannikainen M. (C)	95. Ranford B.
Line 3
98. Larsen O.	5. Andzans A.
55. Pulli V.	38. Wallenius E.
92. Mustonen A.	81. Oden J.
22. Forslund A.	64. Kainulainen H.
21. Kalapudas A.	44. Kopiloff O.
Line 4
41. Manninen O.	16. Gabrielsson H.
74. Henriksson J.	28. Kukuca A.
19. Nalli M.	25. Huttunen H.
29. Kallio B.	8. Alitalo V.
Substitutes
20. Lahnaviik R.	65. Crespin J. (G)
30. Vehvilainen V. (G)	93. Makinen I.
Coaches
. Hahl J.	. Manner M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
13:15, Hannikainen M. (2 min),
17:43, Pyke G. (5 min),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
15:51, 1 - 0, Caito M. (G), Krogdahl M. (A), Fortier M. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
07:01, Nychuk C. (2 min),
08:34, 2 - 0, Hannikainen M. (G), Tuomola R. (A), Forslund A. (A2)
09:56, 3 - 0, Hannikainen M. (G), Virta P. (A), Tuulola E. (A2)
15:56, Hakulinen A. (2 min),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jokerit won 2.

Jokerit is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

HPK has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

HPK could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Both teams have recently been through a succession of home fixtures.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Jokerit holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Jokerit has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 26:27 (averaging 2:2.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Jokerit against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 13:12 goals (averaging 2.6:2.4 per game).

Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now

Jokerit: 3.58% Hameenlinna: 2.17%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
12	Hameenlinna	11	3	3	0	5	23:32	15
16	Jokerit	12	2	1	2	7	25:39	10

Last Results with these Odds

HPK - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 35.27%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jokerit hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
26.09.26	Kiekko-Espoo - Jokerit	4:1 ✺
25.09.26	Jokerit - TPS	1:2 ✺
22.09.26	Jokerit - Pelicans	3:0 ✺
19.09.26	Jokerit - Tappara	0:6 ✺
17.09.26	Jokerit - JYP	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLWLL
- HPK Hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
26.09.26	HPK - Ässät	5:4 OT ✺
22.09.26	HPK - Lukko	1:3 ✺
19.09.26	HPK - TPS	3:1 ✺
15.09.26	KalPa - HPK	7:0 ✺
08.09.26	HPK - Ilves	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Pitsiturnaus
07.08.26	HPK - Jokerit	2:0
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
16.08.14	HPK - Jokerit	1:2 OT
Finnish SM-liiga
16.03.14	HPK - Jokerit	3:2
15.03.14	Jokerit - HPK	1:5
03.01.14	HPK - Jokerit	1:4
27.12.13	Jokerit - HPK	3:2
16.11.13	HPK - Jokerit	3:0

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