Match Info

Liiga

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Lumon Areena (Kouvola)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Sweden	TV4 Play


	KooKoo		Pelicans

	1	X	2
	2.65	4.00	2.20
	2.60	4.00	2.25
	2.63	3.85	2.38	Watch
	2.61	3.70	2.40
	2.68	4.02	2.25	Watch
	2.55	3.65	2.35
	2.53	4.10	2.34	Watch
	2.55	3.85	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (2.77)	3.9 ↑ (3.83)	2.31 ↑ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KooKoo
35.8%

Draw
23.9%

Pelicans
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

24.2%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

25.9%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KooKoo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Pelicans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KooKoo than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pelicans than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

KooKoo - Pelicans Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. KooKoo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
34. Randelin E. (G)	45. Olkinuora J. (G)
7. Parssinen J.	65. Nutivaara M. (A)
39. Nousiainen K.	71. Hakkila H.
82. Meskanen V.	37. Dudas A.
71. Siikonen M. (C)	95. Batna O.
15. Jaakola O.	9. Fortier G.
Line 2
17. Grondahl A.	4. Johannesen J.
8. Pakaslahti A.	15. Lerby C.
25. Holmstrom A.	90. Hawel L.
70. Davidsson M.	7. Stapley B.
10. Sulku S.	10. Karvinen R.
Line 3
77. Puhakka V.	55. Falk H.
4. Nykyri N.	47. Jordan M. (C)
88. Rooba R. (A)	12. Hamalainen S.
22. Luoto O. (A)	87. Myklukha O.
24. Miettinen V.	96. Kumpula J.
Line 4
3. Pelli A.	44. Kousa M.
58. Makela M.	27. Lind O.
20. Valkeejarvi S.	23. Forsberg C. (A)
55. Gallo V.	82. Kettunen A.
Substitutes
30. Patrikainen J. (G)	32. Bartosak P. (G)
72. Tossavainen R.	29. Vaananen M.
Coaches
. Myrra J.	. Kapanen S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 3)
05:10, 1 - 0, Jaakola O. (G), Siikonen M. (A),
06:38, Puhakka V. (2 min),
08:11, 1 - 1, Fortier G. (G), Hamalainen S. (A), Hawel L. (A2)
10:36, Nousiainen K. (2 min),
12:06, 1 - 2, Myklukha O. (G), Dudas A. (A), Nutivaara M. (A2)
12:51, Batna O. (2 min),
18:58, Stapley B. (5 min),
19:21, 1 - 3, Kettunen A. (G),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
04:26, 2 - 3, Jaakola O. (G), Makela M. (A), Luoto O. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 3)
00:13, 2 - 4, Dudas A. (G), Fortier G. (A),
05:51, 2 - 5, Dudas A. (G), Kettunen A. (A), Batna O. (A2)
06:49, Hakkila H. (2 min),
09:39, Batna O. (2 min),
11:43, 3 - 5, Holmstrom A. (G), Jaakola O. (A), Davidsson M. (A2)
14:11, 3 - 6, Forsberg C. (G), Lind O. (A), Jordan M. (A2)

Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 17th in the Relegation and 12th in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KooKoo won 4.

KooKoo is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Pelicans is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

KooKoo may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, KooKoo has recorded 13 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 65:50 (averaging 3.3:2.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for KooKoo against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 33:18 goals (averaging 3:1.6 per game).

Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now

KooKoo: 1.09%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
10	Pelicans	10	5	0	1	4	24:23	16
17	KooKoo	11	1	0	1	9	22:47	4

Last Results with these Odds

Pelicans - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 42.35%, but this team recently wins 24% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KooKoo
Finnish SM-liiga
30.09.26	Tappara - KooKoo	3:0 ✺
26.09.26	KooKoo - Mikkelin Jukurit	3:5 ✺
25.09.26	Ilves - KooKoo	6:0 ✺
23.09.26	KooKoo - KalPa	4:5 ✺
19.09.26	SaiPa - KooKoo	2:1 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Pelicans Hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
26.09.26	Pelicans - HIFK	2:1 ✺
22.09.26	Jokerit - Pelicans	3:0 ✺
19.09.26	Pelicans - JYP	1:3 ✺
18.09.26	Mikkelin Jukurit - Pelicans	3:1 ✺
15.09.26	Pelicans - Tappara	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Ice Hockey
25.08.26	Pelicans - KooKoo	7:0
19.08.26	KooKoo - Pelicans	4:1
Finnish SM-liiga
07.04.26	KooKoo - Pelicans	4:1
04.04.26	Pelicans - KooKoo	1:5
02.04.26	KooKoo - Pelicans	4:1
30.03.26	Pelicans - KooKoo	0:5
28.03.26	KooKoo - Pelicans	0:1 OT

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