Match Info

AHL

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: FirstOntario Centre (Hamilton, ON) 🌤️ ...


	Hamilton Hammers		Toronto Marlies

	1	X	2
	2.45	4.4	2.2	Watch
	2.55	3.90	2.30
	2.52	4.1	2.3
	2.53	4.14	2.3
	2.53	4.27	2.31	Watch
	2.5	4.05	2.25
	2.53	4.25	2.28	Watch
	2.49	4.2	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.49)	4.16 ↓ (4.19)	2.28 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamilton Hammers
36.9%

Draw
22.3%

Toronto Marlies
40.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.6%

22.3%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamilton Hammers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Toronto Marlies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Hamilton Hammers - Toronto Marlies Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Kotai J. (G)	31. Hlavaj S. (G)
7. Aitcheson K.	25. Borgesi V.
49. Bear E.	90. Brisson B.
14. Berg C.	58. Chadwick N.
26. Chaffee M.	37. Haymes L.
34. Eiserman C.	98. Holinka M.
18. Engvall P.	57. Johnstone M. (A)
8. Foudy L.	71. Lettieri V.
20. Highmore M. (C)	82. McWard C.
16. Jefferies A.	36. Mermis D. (A)
11. Kuefler D. (A)	51. Myers P.
39. Luff M.	61. Pezzetta M.
2. Odelius C.	26. Quillan J.
76. Prokhorov D.	54. Rybinski H.
24. Rowe L. (A)	11. Shaw L. (C)
48. Scanlin B.	42. Sim L.
15. Thiesing C.	59. Smith B.
28. Veremyev G.	77. Tverberg R.
6. Warren M.	39. Valis B.
Substitutes
41. Vanecek V. (G)	70. Akhtyamov A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
02:32, 0 - 1, Brisson B. (G), Chadwick N. (A), Borgesi V. (A2)
08:50, 0 - 2, Brisson B. (G), Lettieri V. (A), Shaw L. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
11:51, 1 - 2, Berg C. (G), Luff M. (A), Engvall P. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 3)
03:22, 2 - 2, Warren M. (G), Luff M. (A),
03:46, 2 - 3, Brisson B. (G), Lettieri V. (A), Shaw L. (A2)
19:15, 2 - 4, Haymes L. (G), Tverberg R. (A), Shaw L. (A2)
19:59, 2 - 5, Tverberg R. (G), Mermis D. (A),

Preview

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Hamilton has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:10 (averaging 3.5:5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Hamilton against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 4:5 goals.

Outrights of AHL for now

Toronto Marlies: 5.48%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamilton Hammers
AHL
09.10.26	Hamilton Hammers - Toronto Marlies	4:5 penalties ✺
03.10.26	Toronto Marlies - Hamilton Hammers	5:3 ✺
02.10.26	Belleville Senators - Hamilton Hammers	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLW
- Toronto Marlies
AHL
09.10.26	Hamilton Hammers - Toronto Marlies	4:5 penalties ✺
03.10.26	Toronto Marlies - Hamilton Hammers	5:3 ✺
02.10.26	Rochester Americans - Toronto Marlies	3:1 ✺
19.06.26	Toronto Marlies - Chicago Wolves	4:3 ✺
18.06.26	Toronto Marlies - Chicago Wolves	3:4 AET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

AHL
09.10.26	Hamilton Hammers - Toronto Marlies	4:5 penalties
03.10.26	Toronto Marlies - Hamilton Hammers	5:3

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