Match Info
AHLDate: 21 October 2026, Wednesday ๐ Finished Location: Coca-Cola Coliseum (Toronto, ON) ๐ค๏ธ ...
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 |
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 |
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Toronto Marlies |
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Hamilton Hammers |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.20 |
4.30 |
2.50 |
 Watch |
 |
1.95 |
4.33 |
2.95 |
|
 |
2.12 |
4.30 |
2.65 |
|
 |
2.00 |
4.27 |
2.98 |
|
 |
1.96 |
4.48 |
3.04 |
Watch |
 |
1.95 |
4.25 |
2.95 |
|
 |
1.98 |
4.36 |
2.99 |
Watch |
 |
2.08 |
4.20 |
2.75 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↓
(2.8) |
4.31 ↑
(4.18) |
2.85 ↑
(2.04) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
- The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Toronto Marlies
45.8% | Draw
21.6% | Hamilton Hammers
32.6% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Toronto Marlies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Toronto Marlies's performance.Hamilton Hammers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hamilton Hammers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto Marlies than the current prediction. (-12.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Toronto Marlies that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamilton Hammers than the current prediction. (+12.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hamilton Hammers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Toronto Marlies - Hamilton Hammers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
31.  Hlavaj S. (G)
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25.  Borgesi V.
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90. Brisson B.
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38.  Danford B.
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37. Haymes L.
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98.  Holinka M.
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62. Hundley H.
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65. Johnson R.
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57. Johnstone M.
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81. Joshua D.
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82. McWard C.
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36. Mermis D.
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51. Myers P.
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61. Pezzetta M.
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26.  Raty A.
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11. Shaw L.
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42. Sim L.
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77. Tverberg R.
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39. Valis B.
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| Substitutes |
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80. Appleby K. (G)
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (2 - 0)
- 03:55, 1 - 0, Haymes L. (G), Holinka M. (A),
- 06:20, 2 - 0, Pezzetta M. (G), Myers P. (A), Hundley H. (A2)
- 2nd Period (1 - 1)
- 07', 3 - 0, (G),
- 08', 3 - 1, (G),
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 19', 4 - 1, (G),
Preview
Toronto is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).Hamilton is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).Recently, Hamilton has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures. In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.Our forecast points to a victory for Toronto in today's match, at odds of 2.37.In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Toronto has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:9 (averaging 5:3 goals per game).Specifically in home fixtures for Toronto against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 5:3 goals.
Outrights of AHL for now
Toronto Marlies: 5.48%
Last Results with these Odds
Toronto Marlies - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 32.85%, but this team recently wins 53% of matches with these odds.
Latest Head to Head
| AHL | | | 11.10.26 | Hamilton Hammers - Toronto Marlies | 2:5 | | 09.10.26 | Hamilton Hammers - Toronto Marlies | 4:5 penalties | | 03.10.26 | Toronto Marlies - Hamilton Hammers | 5:3 |
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