Match Info

FINLAND: Mestis

Date: 13 November 2024, Wednesday

Location: Kajaanin jäähalli (Kajaani)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+


	Hokki		Imatran Ketterä

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.3	4.9	1.46
	4.68	4.73	1.43
	5.32	5.15	1.47	Watch
	5	4.6	1.44
	5.39	4.95	1.45	Watch
	5.3	4.9	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.17 ↑ (3.55)	4.87 ↑ (4.39)	1.45 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hokki
17.8%

Draw
18.9%

Imatran Ketterä
63.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

20.9%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

21.7%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hokki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hokki's form might have worsened.

Imatran Ketterä has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Imatran Ketterä's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hokki than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hokki, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Imatran Ketterä than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Imatran Ketterä, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hokki - Imatran Ketterä Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Tamminen K. (G)	35. Roos R. (G)
11. Koskenkorva S. (A)	7. Parssinen J.
41. Lehtinen E.	11. Pietila N.
29. Kaski T.	25. Jamsen J.
12. Ohtonen J. (A)	27. Paasovaara E. (C)
83. Vahakangas K.	13. Ravinskis A.
Line 2
23. Kuivas A.	55. Kenttamaa A. (A)
4. Heiskanen T.	4. Tanskanen L.
16. Jokinen J.	91. Ronkkonen J.
19. Homjakovs A.	77. Ruusunen R.
63. Jokinen J. (C)	67. Lindsten J.
Line 3
7. Rajala A.	63. Niemi A.
38. Ilvessuo J.	6. Rannisto J.
87. Karasa A.	83. Dvorak A.
25. Fagerstrom J.	21. Ruotsi J.
14. Heinanen K.	81. Lankinen J. (A)
Line 4
6. Enckell J.	19. Heinonen S.
73. Suutari L.	34. Hameenaho V.
28. Rautiainen J.	57. Akkila A.
91. Tuomainen N.
Substitutes
33. Nieminen E. (G)	23. Tanninen V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
12:31, 1 - 0, Fagerstrom J. (G), Ilvessuo J. (A), Vahakangas K. (A2)
14:07, 1 - 1, Paasovaara E. (G), Jamsen J. (A), Ravinskis A. (A2)
16:51, 2 - 1, Jokinen J. (G), Heinanen K. (A), Homjakovs A. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
05:08, 2 - 2, Lindsten J. (G), Ronkkonen J. (A),
07:19, 3 - 2, Heiskanen T. (G), Heinanen K. (A), Fagerstrom J. (A2)
18:21, 3 - 3, Ravinskis A. (G), Pietila N. (A), Lindsten J. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
11:55, 3 - 4, Lindsten J. (G), Pietila N. (A), Ravinskis A. (A2)
19:54, 3 - 5, Ravinskis A. (G), Ronkkonen J. (A),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hokki won 1.

Hokki is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ketterä is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ketterä could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ketterä is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Ketterä to win the game is with odds 1.73.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Hokki won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 17 matches and goals 41:85 (average 2.1:4.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Hokki won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 22:38 (average 2.2:3.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hokki
Finnish Mestis
12.11.24	IPK - Hokki	3:0 ✺
01.11.24	Hokki - IPK	0:8 ✺
30.10.24	Kiekko-Vantaa - Hokki	4:5 penalties ✺
29.10.24	Jokerit - Hokki	3:0 ✺
26.10.24	Hokki - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLWLL
- Imatran Ketterä
Finnish Mestis
12.11.24	Hermes Kokkola - Imatran Ketterä	4:0 ✺
01.11.24	Imatran Ketterä - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat	5:1 ✺
26.10.24	Imatran Ketterä - Kiekko-Vantaa	2:1 ✺
19.10.24	Hokki - Imatran Ketterä	2:3 penalties ✺
18.10.24	Hermes Kokkola - Imatran Ketterä	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Mestis
19.10.24	Hokki - Imatran Ketterä	2:3 penalties
01.10.24	Imatran Ketterä - Hokki	1:5
06.02.24	Hokki - Imatran Ketterä	1:5
17.01.24	Imatran Ketterä - Hokki	9:0
24.11.23	Hokki - Imatran Ketterä	2:5
12.10.23	Imatran Ketterä - Hokki	5:4 OT
24.02.23	Hokki - Imatran Ketterä	3:5

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