Match Info

FINLAND: Mestis

Date: 5 February 2025, Wednesday

Location: Kankaan jäähalli (Iisalmi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+


	IPK		Hokki

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.28	5.75	6.5
	1.25	5.88	5.97
				Watch
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.47)	5.82 ↑ (4.9)	6.24 ↑ (5.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 10.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

IPK
70.4%

Draw
15.3%

Hokki
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.3%

19%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

19.6%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

IPK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in IPK's performance.

Hokki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for IPK than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with IPK that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hokki than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

IPK - Hokki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
35. Taimi O. (G)	71. Salonen D. (G)
44. Kallioinen L.	8. Mykkanen J.
2. Ylitalo E. (A)	28. Andzans A.
11. Virtanen J.	83. Vahakangas K.
89. Tammela J.	19. Homjakovs A.
8. Airo J.	63. Jokinen J. (C)
Line 2
49. Timonen S.	38. Ilvessuo J.
12. Mikkonen O. (C)	87. Karasa A.
19. Saarelainen M.	25. Fagerstrom J.
31. Rantanen J.	22. Juhola J.
27. Nalli M.
Line 3
22. von Gerdten R.	11. Koskenkorva S.
71. Osenieks E.	4. Heiskanen T.
13. Halonen V.	27. Aaltonen J.
26. Hattunen M.	16. Jokinen J.
7. Suhonen P.	14. Heinanen K. (A)
Line 4
6. Leppanen T.	77. Nissinen T.
34. Virolainen J.	91. Tuomainen N.
67. Lehtinen J.	12. Ohtonen J. (A)
9. Vesaaja J.	15. Pellikka A.
Substitutes
70. Parviainen O. (G)	1. Marttinen M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 2)
17:17, 1 - 0, Ylitalo E. (G), Saarelainen M. (A), Rantanen J. (A2)
17:58, 1 - 1, Alitalo V. (G), Aaltonen J. (A), Andzans A. (A2)
18:23, 1 - 2, Jokinen J. (G), Bilgili S. (A), Vahakangas K. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches IPK won 5.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

IPK could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently IPK have a series of home games.

In this match IPK is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's IPK to win the game is with odds 1.46.

Last 20 head-to-head matches IPK won 11 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 70:59 (average 3.5:3).

Including matches at home between the teams IPK won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 29:21 (average 3.2:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iisalmen Peli-Karhut
Finnish Mestis
31.01.25	IPK - Imatran Ketterä	3:2 ✺
24.01.25	IPK - Hokki	4:1 ✺
18.01.25	IPK - Jokerit	0:3 ✺
17.01.25	IPK - TuTo	0:1 ✺
11.01.25	Imatran Ketterä - IPK	3:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWLLW
- Hokki
Finnish Mestis
01.02.25	Kiekko-Vantaa - Hokki	5:1 ✺
31.01.25	Jokerit - Hokki	5:0 ✺
25.01.25	Hokki - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat	3:2 OT ✺
24.01.25	IPK - Hokki	4:1 ✺
18.01.25	Hokki - TuTo	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Mestis
24.01.25	IPK - Hokki	4:1
12.11.24	IPK - Hokki	3:0
01.11.24	Hokki - IPK	0:8
16.10.24	Hokki - IPK	1:4
17.02.24	Hokki - IPK	2:3
30.12.23	IPK - Hokki	6:1
29.12.23	Hokki - IPK	3:2 OT

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