Match Info

FINLAND: Mestis - Relegation - Final

Date: 3 April 2024, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo


	Hokki		Nokian Pyry

	1	X	2
	1.19	7	10.5
	1.19	7.1	10.5
	1.17	8.3	11.53
	1.18	8.31	11.53
	1.15	7	10
	1.15	7.9	12.6
	1.22	6.2	9.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.18 ↓ (1.3)	7.4 ↑ (6)	10.87 ↑ (6.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hokki
78.9%

Draw
12.6%

Nokian Pyry
8.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.6%

15.3%

14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.8%

15.5%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hokki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hokki's performance.

Nokian Pyry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nokian Pyry might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hokki than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hokki that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nokian Pyry than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nokian Pyry could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Tamminen K. (G)	31. Makinen V. (G)
2. Mikkola N.	77. Kuivaniemi N.
38. Henriksson J. (A)	9. Lammi O.
16. Myllyaho A.	63. Pelttari J.
42. Koivunen E. (A)	12. Valimaki V. (A)
63. Jokinen J.	34. Mantymaki T.
Line 2
8. Mykkanen J.	2. Lehtonen K.
22. Tiuraniemi V. (C)	7. Lassila J.
27. Aaltonen J.	65. Korpela L.
10. Parviainen J.	24. Virolainen J.
89. Sakkinen I.	47. Makiviinikka V.
Line 3
25. Yli-Suutala S.	44. Salmi L.
28. Niku T.	4. Ylitalo V. (C)
17. Pellikka A.	18. Kalliosalo J.
13. Selanne E.	21. Kylmaniemi J. (A)
44. Komulainen T.	22. Lamminsivu N.
Line 4
6. Enckell J.	26. Huhtanen M.
11. Kemppainen S.	92. Nyppeli J.
91. Tuomainen N.	20. Hautamaki S.
77. Hahl V.	49. Ahmaoja V.
Substitutes
33. Nieminen E. (G)	90. Makinen O. (G)

Preview

3rd leg. Hokki leads series 2-0.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hokki won 4.

Hokki is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Pyry is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hokki could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Hokki is indisputable favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Hokki won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 31-25.

Including matches at home between the teams Hokki won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hokki
Finnish Mestis
01.04.24	Nokian Pyry - Hokki	3:4 OT ✺
30.03.24	Hokki - Nokian Pyry	5:0 ✺
23.03.24	Hokki - Forssan Palloseura	6:1 ✺
20.03.24	Forssan Palloseura - Hokki	2:5 ✺
19.03.24	Forssan Palloseura - Hokki	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWWL
- Nokian Pyry
Finnish Mestis
01.04.24	Nokian Pyry - Hokki	3:4 OT ✺
30.03.24	Hokki - Nokian Pyry	5:0 ✺
Finnish Suomi-sarja
23.03.24	LeKi - Nokian Pyry	6:7 OT ✺
22.03.24	Nokian Pyry - LeKi	2:1 OT ✺
20.03.24	LeKi - Nokian Pyry	4:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Mestis
01.04.24	Nokian Pyry - Hokki	3:4 OT
30.03.24	Hokki - Nokian Pyry	5:0
Finnish Suomi-sarja
10.02.19	Hokki - Nokian Pyry	3:2 OT
13.01.19	Hokki - Nokian Pyry	2:4
03.11.18	Nokian Pyry - Hokki	5:6
17.02.18	Hokki - Nokian Pyry	2:3
10.02.18	Nokian Pyry - Hokki	1:2

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