Match Info

FINLAND: Mestis - Relegation - Final

Date: 5 April 2024, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo


	Nokian Pyry		Hokki

	1	X	2
	6.25	5.5	1.35
	6.45	5.9	1.33
	7.51	5.77	1.33
	7.51	5.77	1.33
	7	5	1.3
	6.47	5.7	1.34
	6.6	5.2	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.83 ↑ (6)	5.55 ↑ (5.5)	1.33 ↑ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nokian Pyry
13.6%

Draw
16.7%

Hokki
69.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.9%

16.3%

68.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.1%

16.5%

67.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nokian Pyry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Hokki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nokian Pyry than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hokki than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Makinen V. (G)	1. Tamminen K. (G)
77. Kuivaniemi N.	2. Mikkola N.
9. Lammi O.	38. Henriksson J. (A)
63. Pelttari J.	16. Myllyaho A.
12. Valimaki V. (A)	42. Koivunen E. (A)
34. Mantymaki T.	63. Jokinen J.
Line 2
2. Lehtonen K.	8. Mykkanen J.
7. Lassila J.	22. Tiuraniemi V. (C)
65. Korpela L.	27. Aaltonen J.
24. Virolainen J.	10. Parviainen J.
47. Makiviinikka V.	89. Sakkinen I.
Line 3
44. Salmi L.	25. Yli-Suutala S.
4. Ylitalo V. (C)	28. Niku T.
18. Kalliosalo J.	17. Pellikka A.
21. Kylmaniemi J. (A)	13. Selanne E.
22. Lamminsivu N.	44. Komulainen T.
Line 4
26. Huhtanen M.	6. Enckell J.
92. Nyppeli J.	11. Kemppainen S.
20. Hautamaki S.	91. Tuomainen N.
49. Ahmaoja V.	77. Hahl V.
Substitutes
90. Makinen O. (G)	33. Nieminen E. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
13:20, 0 - 1, Aaltonen J. (G), Parviainen J. (A), Sakkinen I. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
02:19, 0 - 2, Tiuraniemi V. (G), Komulainen T. (A), Mikkola N. (A2)
03:20, 1 - 2, Kalliosalo J. (G), Lamminsivu N. (A), Virolainen J. (A2)
12:27, 1 - 3, Aaltonen J. (G), Niku T. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
18:08, 2 - 3, Kalliosalo J. (G), Kuivaniemi N. (A), Lamminsivu N. (A2)

Preview

4th leg. Hokki leads series 3-0.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pyry won 1.

Recent matches Pyry is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hokki in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Pyry could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Hokki is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Pyry won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 27-36.

Including matches at home between the teams Pyry won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13-17.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nokian Pyry
Finnish Mestis
03.04.24	Hokki - Nokian Pyry	5:2 ✺
01.04.24	Nokian Pyry - Hokki	3:4 OT ✺
30.03.24	Hokki - Nokian Pyry	5:0 ✺
Finnish Suomi-sarja
23.03.24	LeKi - Nokian Pyry	6:7 OT ✺
22.03.24	Nokian Pyry - LeKi	2:1 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLLWW
- Hokki
Finnish Mestis
03.04.24	Hokki - Nokian Pyry	5:2 ✺
01.04.24	Nokian Pyry - Hokki	3:4 OT ✺
30.03.24	Hokki - Nokian Pyry	5:0 ✺
23.03.24	Hokki - Forssan Palloseura	6:1 ✺
20.03.24	Forssan Palloseura - Hokki	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Mestis
03.04.24	Hokki - Nokian Pyry	5:2
01.04.24	Nokian Pyry - Hokki	3:4 OT
30.03.24	Hokki - Nokian Pyry	5:0
Finnish Suomi-sarja
10.02.19	Hokki - Nokian Pyry	3:2 OT
13.01.19	Hokki - Nokian Pyry	2:4
03.11.18	Nokian Pyry - Hokki	5:6
17.02.18	Hokki - Nokian Pyry	2:3

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