Match Info

Champions League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 November 2025, Wednesday

Location: Tampere Deck Arena (Tampere)

Referee: Ondracek J. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Ilves		Fischtown Pinguins Bremerhaven

	1	X	2
	1.5	5	4	Watch
	1.5	5.13	5.24
	1.51	4.65	4.45
	1.45	5.49	5.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.55)	5.07 ↓ (5.48)	4.7 ↑ (4.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilves
62.1%

Draw
18.2%

Fischtown Pinguins Bremerhaven
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

17.4%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

15.3%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Fischtown Pinguins Bremerhaven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ilves that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fischtown Pinguins Bremerhaven than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Ilves - Fischtown Pinguins Bremerhaven Predictions

Users Predictions: Ilves will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ilves will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
39. Pavlat D. (G)	27. Hungerecker L. (G)
23. Johansson S.	22. Eminger V.
57. Parikka J.	17. Bystrom L.
34. Palola O.	91. Verlic M.
11. Borg E. (A)	13. Jeglic Z.
22. Engberg T.	9. Urbas J. (C)
Line 2
53. Pelli A.	15. Bettahar R.
21. Kucerik R.	42. Abt M.
29. Looke J.	23. Gortz M.
9. Jasek L.	65. Wejse C. (A)
92. Henman L.	14. Mauerman R.
Line 3
43. Latvala O.	2. Hirose A.
3. Utunen T. (A)	53. Rausch M.
46. Torok M.	79. Conrad C.
86. Nattinen J. (C)	57. Friesen A. (A)
17. Ratinen S.	8. Kinder N.
Line 4
8. Tukio O.	25. Herrmann F.
5. Niskanen A.	73. Rossmy B.
38. Teuho-Markkola T.	51. Miele A.
18. Mottard P.	21. Krammer N.
25. Heikkinen I.
Substitutes
40. Armalis M. (G)	33. Hudacek J. (G)
Coaches
. Niemela T.	. Sulzer A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
01:21, (2 min),
02:45, Friesen A. (2 min),
03:13, 1 - 0, Henman L. (G), Torok M. (A), Jasek L. (A2)
19:18, 2 - 0, Borg E. (G), Palola O. (A), Johansson S. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
03:04, 2 - 1, Verlic M. (G),
04:50, 2 - 2, Friesen A. (G), Kinder N. (A), Hirose A. (A2)
13:23, Latvala O. (2 min),
19:27, 3 - 2, Borg E. (G),
3rd Period (2 - 0)
08:20, Nattinen J. (2 min),
12:40, 4 - 2, Looke J. (G),
16:39, 5 - 2, Torok M. (G), Jasek L. (A), Ratinen S. (A2)
18:12, Mottard P. (2 min),
18:12, Wejse C. (2 min),

Preview

1st leg result: 3-2. 2nd leg.

Ilves is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Bremerhaven has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bremerhaven may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ilves is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ilves won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilves hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
15.11.25	HPK - Ilves	2:3 OT ✺
14.11.25	Ilves - Tappara	4:2 ✺
Champions League Ice Hockey
11.11.25	Fischtown Pinguins Bremerhaven - Ilves	2:3 ✺
Finnish SM-liiga
01.11.25	Ilves - KalPa	5:2 ✺
31.10.25	SaiPa - Ilves	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWWWL
- Fischtown Pinguins Bremerhaven
German Ice Hockey League
16.11.25	Straubing Tigers - Fischtown Pinguins Bremerhaven	3:1 ✺
13.11.25	Fischtown Pinguins Bremerhaven - EHC München	4:1 ✺
Champions League Ice Hockey
11.11.25	Fischtown Pinguins Bremerhaven - Ilves	2:3 ✺
German Ice Hockey League
02.11.25	Eisbären Berlin - Fischtown Pinguins Bremerhaven	1:4 ✺
30.10.25	Fischtown Pinguins Bremerhaven - Iserlohn Roosters	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Champions League Ice Hockey
11.11.25	Fischtown Pinguins Bremerhaven - Ilves	2:3

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