Match Info
LiigaDate: 8 September 2026, TuesdayLocation: Pohjantahti-Areena (Hämeenlinna)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
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HPK |
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Ilves |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.35 |
4.00 |
2.45 |
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 |
2.40 |
3.90 |
2.45 |
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 |
2.43 |
3.85 |
2.55 |
 Watch |
 |
2.46 |
3.55 |
2.61 |
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 |
2.46 |
3.76 |
2.55 |
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 |
2.40 |
3.50 |
2.55 |
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 |
2.39 |
3.96 |
2.52 |
Watch |
 |
2.40 |
3.80 |
2.50 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.41 ↑
(2.38) |
3.79 ↓
(3.85) |
2.52 ↓
(2.7) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 4.75
- The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
HPK
38.6% | Draw
24.5% | Ilves
36.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HPK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for HPK than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (+0.2%)HPK - Ilves Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ilves (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2 
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Lineups
| Line 1 |
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1.  Saarinen K. (G)
| 40.  Armalis M. (G)
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43. Kukkonen M. (A)
| 27.  Strand A.
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4. Jokirinne V.
| 57. Parikka J.
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95. Ranford B.
| 29.  Looke J.
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12. Paivarinta S. (A)
| 9.  Jasek L.
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94. Hakulinen A. (C)
| 92. Henman L. (A)
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| Line 2 |
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7. Pyke G.
| 43. Latvala O.
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39. Nychuk C.
| 6. Sund T.
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81. Oden J.
| 67. Haatanen A.
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29. MacEachern C.
| 44. Jarvinen J. (C)
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11. de Jong E.
| 46.  Torok M.
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| Line 3 |
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5.  Andzans A.
| 77. Loof L.
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16. Gabrielsson H.
| 28. Nyberg J.
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28.  Kukuca A.
| 38. Teuho-Markkola T.
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64. Kainulainen H.
| 19. Lantta J.
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10. Vesterinen R.
| 71. Korhonen B.
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| Line 4 |
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49.  Nitz G.
| 26. Niskanen A.
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25. Huttunen H.
| 3. Utunen T.
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15. Korhonen O.
| 15. Kos O.
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8. Alitalo V.
| 11. Borg E. (A)
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| 22. Engberg T.
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| Substitutes |
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65. Crespin J. (G)
| 65. Rifalk C. (G)
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44. Kopiloff O.
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| Coaches |
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. Manner M.
| . Niemela T.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (0 - 2)
- 01:19, Jasek L. (2 min),
- 07:42, 0 - 1, Korhonen B. (G), Teuho-Markkola T. (A),
- 11:37, Andzans A. (2 min),
- 11:45, 0 - 2, Korhonen B. (G), Teuho-Markkola T. (A), Strand A. (A2)
- 2nd Period (0 - 0)
- 06:03, Kukkonen M. (2 min),
- 19:43, Looke J. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (0 - 2)
- 04:30, Nychuk C. (2 min),
- 08:25, 0 - 3, Jasek L. (G), Looke J. (A), Henman L. (A2)
- 09:26, Latvala O. (2 min),
- 19:38, 0 - 4, Korhonen B. (G), Sund T. (A),
- 19:50, Borg E. (2 min),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HPK won 1.Right now, both teams are showing solid form. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HPK won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 49:64. (average 2.5:3.2).Including home matches between the teams, HPK won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:33. (average 2.3:3.3).
Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now
Hameenlinna: 2.23%
Standings
| | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Ilves | 12 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 36:24 | 26 |
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| 10 | Hameenlinna | 12 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 28:35 | 18 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Finnish SM-liiga | | | 10.03.26 | Ilves - HPK | 3:1 | | 26.12.25 | HPK - Ilves | 3:8 | | 04.12.25 | Ilves - HPK | 3:2 | | 15.11.25 | HPK - Ilves | 2:3 OT | | 27.02.25 | Ilves - HPK | 0:4 | | 14.02.25 | HPK - Ilves | 2:3 | | 22.10.24 | Ilves - HPK | 1:4 |
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Upcoming Matches
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