The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
HPK 24%
Draw 23.1%
Ilves 52.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
32.8%
23.1%
44.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29%
24.4%
46.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HPK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that HPK's form might have worsened.
Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ilves's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for HPK than the current prediction. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ilves, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
50%
50%
HPK - Ilves Predictions
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. Ilves will win (votes: 1 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
65. Crespin J. (G)
40. Armalis M. (G)
43. Kukkonen M. (A)
27. Strand A.
4. Jokirinne V.
57. Parikka J.
95. Ranford B.
29. Looke J.
12. Paivarinta S. (C)
92. Henman L. (A)
10. Vesterinen R.
25. Hynninen T.
Line 2
38. Wallenius E.
43. Latvala O.
16. Gabrielsson H.
6. Sund T.
11. de Jong E.
67. Haatanen A.
15. Korhonen O.
44. Jarvinen J. (C)
44. Kopiloff O.
22. Engberg T.
Line 3
7. Pyke G.
77. Loof L.
5. Andzans A.
28. Nyberg J.
34. Palola O.
38. Teuho-Markkola T.
25. Huttunen H.
19. Lantta J.
81. Oden J.
15. Kos O.
Line 4
19. Jussila N.
3. Utunen T.
92. Fagerstrom V.
86. Heikkinen I.
28. Kukuca A.
46. Torok M.
64. Kainulainen H. (A)
11. Borg E. (A)
8. Alitalo V.
71. Korhonen B.
Substitutes
1. Saarinen K. (G)
65. Rifalk C. (G)
Coaches
. Manner M.
. Niemela T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
03:26, (2 min),
03:48, 0 - 1, Korhonen B. (G), Sund T. (A), Torok M. (A2)
15:44, Latvala O. (2 min),
19:41, Andzans A. (2 min),
3rd Period (3 - 0)
08:26, 1 - 1, Alitalo V. (G), Gabrielsson H. (A), Kainulainen H. (A2)
13:39, 2 - 1, Kopiloff O. (G), Huttunen H. (A), Gabrielsson H. (A2)
19:07, 3 - 1, Vesterinen R. (G), Paivarinta S. (A), Kukkonen M. (A2)
Preview
A mid-table host welcomes the league leaders in an exciting contest (ranked 11th in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 1st in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HPK won 0.
HPK is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by Ilves have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
HPK may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Ilves is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, HPK has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 48:62 (averaging 2.4:3.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for HPK against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with 23:37 goals (averaging 2.1:3.4 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
3
Ilves
19
9
3
1
6
51:39
34
14
Hameenlinna
19
5
3
0
11
39:55
21
Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now
Hameenlinna: 2.13%
Last Results with these Odds
HPK - the odds 2.83 are the expected chance of winning is 32.77%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Ilves - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 44.11%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.
Finland
Sweden
Watch
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Crespin J. (G) 
Armalis M. (G) 
Kukkonen M. (A) 
Strand A. 
Andzans A. 
Kos O. 
Kukuca A. 
Torok M. 
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