The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ilves 51.3%
Draw 22.8%
KalPa 25.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
47.4%
22.7%
30%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.2%
23.5%
27.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
KalPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for KalPa than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Ilves - KalPa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Preview
This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 11th in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 4.
In recent outings, Ilves has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
KalPa is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Ilves may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Ilves has faced a series of away games on the road.
Ilves is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Ilves has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 59:53 (averaging 3:2.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ilves against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 25:13 goals (averaging 2.8:1.4 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
3
Ilves
19
9
3
1
6
51:39
34
11
KalPa
17
8
0
1
8
46:40
25
Last Results with these Odds
Ilves - the odds 1.96 are the expected chance of winning is 47.37%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.
KalPa - the odds 3.09 are the expected chance of winning is 29.98%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
Finland
Sweden
Watch
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