Match Info

Champions League - Round 6

Date: 14 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: Nokia Arena (Tampere)

Referee: Hyvarinen T. (Fin)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Polsat Sport 3
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
Sweden	Viaplay


	Ilves		ZSC Lions

	1	X	2
	3.8	4.5	1.61	Watch
	4.65	4.39	1.64
	3.91	4.26	1.71
	4.01	5.11	1.6	Watch
	2.65	4	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.8 ↑ (2.56)	4.45 ↑ (4)	1.76 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilves
24.9%

Draw
21.3%

ZSC Lions
53.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

22.5%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

21.7%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ilves's form might have worsened.

ZSC Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting ZSC Lions's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ilves, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ZSC Lions than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for ZSC Lions, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Ilves - ZSC Lions Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ilves will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). ZSC Lions will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ilves will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
60. Taponen R. (G)	30. Hrubec S. (G)
15. Kuukasjarvi R.	4. Geering P.
21. Kucerik R.	46. Kukan D.
9. Jasek L.	64. Aberg P.
12. Mantykivi M.	62. Malgin D.
46. Torok M.	18. Baechler N.
Line 2
53. Pelli A.	6. Weber Y.
5. Niskanen A.	54. Marti Ch.
25. Heikkinen I.	28. Froden J.
11. Borg E.	27. Grant D.
22. Engberg T.	38. Balcers R.
Line 3
43. Latvala O.	86. Trutmann D.
8. Tukio O.	44. Lehtonen M.
34. Frolo J.	9. Rohrer V.
19. Laitinen J.	19. Andreoff A.
52. Hermonen J.	8. Riedi W.
Line 4
6. Soini S.	33. Schwendeler J.
26. Hietanen J.	14. Baltisberger Ch.
27. Laurell E.	79. Bader T.
33. Liljeberg M.	13. Sigrist J.
38. Teuho-Markkola T.
Substitutes
35. Kuivila J. (G)	7. Henry J.
	1. Metzger T. (G)
	40. Zumbuhl R. (G)
Coaches
. Niemela T.	. Bayer M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
00:14, Jasek L. (2 min),
07:01, Weber Y. (2 min),
07:31, Grant D. (2 min),
08:24, 1 - 0, Mantykivi M. (G), Jasek L. (A), Pelli A. (A2)
18:56, Andreoff A. (2 min),
3rd Period (3 - 1)
13:45, 2 - 0, Torok M. (G), Jasek L. (A), Hietanen J. (A2)
18:16, 3 - 0, Mantykivi M. (G), Torok M. (A), Jasek L. (A2)
19:37, 3 - 1, Andreoff A. (G), Kukan D. (A), Lehtonen M. (A2)
19:57, 4 - 1, Laurell E. (G), Niskanen A. (A),

Preview

Ilves is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

ZSC Lions is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ilves won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Including home match between the teams, Ilves won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Last Results with these Odds

Ilves - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 35.27%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilves hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
11.10.25	HIFK - Ilves	6:1 ✺
10.10.25	Ilves - HIFK	3:0 ✺
Champions League Ice Hockey
08.10.25	Kometa Brno - Ilves	0:5 ✺
Finnish SM-liiga
04.10.25	Lukko - Ilves	1:0 ✺
03.10.25	Ilves - Kärpät	2:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWLL
- ZSC Lions
Swiss National League Hockey
11.10.25	ZSC Lions - Ambrì-Piotta	1:2 ✺
10.10.25	Rapperswil-Jona Lakers - ZSC Lions	3:2 ✺
Champions League Ice Hockey
07.10.25	ZSC Lions - Sparta Prague	1:2 ✺
Swiss National League Hockey
04.10.25	Lausanne HC - ZSC Lions	1:3 ✺
03.10.25	ZSC Lions - Bern	7:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Champions League Ice Hockey
07.09.24	Ilves - ZSC Lions	1:4

Ilves - ZSC Lions: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide