Match Info

Champions League - Round 5

Date: 8 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Winning Group Arena (Brno)

Referee: Sir R. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra 3, Polsat Sport Premium 2
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
Sweden	Viaplay


	Kometa Brno		Ilves

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.5	3.7	Watch
	1.74	4.49	3.92
	1.81	4.01	3.73
	1.72	4.31	3.92	Watch
	2.18	4.3	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.98)	4.32 ↑ (3.6)	3.56 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kometa Brno
51.8%

Draw
21.8%

Ilves
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

22.2%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

19.6%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kometa Brno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kometa Brno's performance.

Ilves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ilves might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kometa Brno than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kometa Brno that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ilves could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Kometa Brno - Ilves Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Kometa Brno will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Ilves will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Kometa Brno (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Ilves (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5, OT - Ilves (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Kometa Brno (votes: 2 - 50%). Ilves (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Kavan J. (G)	60. Taponen R. (G)
13. Svoboda D.	43. Latvala O.
8. Daloga M.	21. Kucerik R.
16. Veselsky A.	72. Svejkovsky L.
18. Zboril A.	11. Borg E.
83. Stransky S.	22. Engberg T.
Line 2
93. Holland R.	8. Kuukasjarvi R.
36. Zubicek J.	28. Nyberg J.
21. Boltvan A.	25. Heikkinen I.
72. Kollar A.	92. Henman L.
15. Kos J.	52. Hermonen J.
Line 3
39. Jurny J.	6. Soini S.
24. Gulasi M.	5. Niskanen A.
63. Ferda R.	34. Frolo J.
10. Ekrt J.	19. Laitinen J.
86. Chludil D.	33. Liljeberg M.
Line 4
	23. Hietanen J.
	27. Laurell E.
	18. Mottard P.
	38. Teuho-Markkola T.
Substitutes
2. Ondracek J. (G)	35. Kuivila J. (G)
20. Zohorna H.
80. Zohorna T.
Coaches
. Pokorny K.	. Niemela T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
00:21, Daloga M. (2 min),
12:36, Latvala O. (2 min),
17:41, 0 - 1, Latvala O. (G), Heikkinen I. (A), Kucerik R. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
01:20, 0 - 2, Hermonen J. (G), Kuukasjarvi R. (A), Heikkinen I. (A2)
08:26, 0 - 3, Laitinen J. (G), Hietanen J. (A), Frolo J. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
00:01, Kavan J. ↓, Ondracek J. ↑,
02:39, 0 - 4, Kucerik R. (G), Laurell E. (A),
04:34, Latvala O. (2 min),
14:49, Zohorna H. (2 min),
15:15, 0 - 5, Svejkovsky L. (G), Soini S. (A), Heikkinen I. (A2)
17:15, Svoboda D. (2 min),

Preview

Ilves is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Ilves may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Kometa Brno is the team to beat.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Kometa Brno - the odds 1.98 are the expected chance of winning is 40.4%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Ilves - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 37.38%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kometa Brno
Czech Extraliga
05.10.25	Kometa Brno - Energie Karlovy Vary	3:1 ✺
03.10.25	Kometa Brno - Rytíři Kladno	3:4 penalties ✺
30.09.25	Oceláři Třinec - Kometa Brno	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Kometa Brno - Pardubice	1:2 OT ✺
26.09.25	Motor České Budějovice - Kometa Brno	8:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 WLLLL
- Ilves hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
04.10.25	Lukko - Ilves	1:0 ✺
03.10.25	Ilves - Kärpät	2:7 ✺
01.10.25	Vaasan Sport - Ilves	0:2 ✺
27.09.25	KalPa - Ilves	5:4 OT ✺
26.09.25	Ilves - Ässät	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWLL

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