Match Info
LiigaDate: 1 September 2026, TuesdayLocation: Kivikylan Areena (Rauma)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Sweden | TV4 Play |
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Lukko |
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Ilves |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.20 |
4.00 |
2.65 |
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2.25 |
3.90 |
2.65 |
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2.30 |
3.70 |
2.80 |
Watch |
 |
2.42 |
3.74 |
2.56 |
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2.31 |
3.85 |
2.7 |
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2.35 |
3.70 |
2.55 |
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2.32 |
4.10 |
2.55 |
Watch |
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2.30 |
3.85 |
2.60 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.31 ↑ (2.21) |
3.86 ↓ (4.08) |
2.63 ↓ (2.63) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Lukko 40.4% | Draw 24.2% | Ilves 35.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lukko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Lukko - Ilves Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2 
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Lineups
| Line 1 |
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30. Salonen D. (G)
| 40. Armalis M. (G)
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9. Stenqvist J.
| 27. Strand A.
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27. Seppala P.
| 57. Parikka J.
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87. Saarela A. (A)
| 29. Looke J.
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93. Ruohomaa M. (A)
| 9. Jasek L.
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18. Liedes H. (C)
| 92. Henman L. (A)
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| Line 2 |
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34. Viitasalo N.
| 43. Latvala O.
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43. Valila A.
| 6. Sund T.
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16. Beaucage A.
| 67. Haatanen A.
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91. Robert F.
| 44. Jarvinen J. (C)
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25. Saarela A.
| 46. Torok M.
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| Line 3 |
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96. Harpur C.
| 77. Loof L.
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56. Olsson A.
| 28. Nyberg J.
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24. Krannila J.
| 15. Kos O.
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29. Vanninen A.
| 11. Borg E. (A)
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90. Hamalainen L.
| 22. Engberg T.
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| Line 4 |
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15. Tukiainen J.
| 3. Utunen T.
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23. Trakht D.
| 38. Teuho-Markkola T.
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48. Ikonen H.
| 19. Lantta J.
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75. Virtanen S.
| 71. Korhonen B.
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47. Haapanen T.
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| Substitutes |
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32. Raanta A. (G)
| 86. Heikkinen I.
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| 65. Rifalk C. (G)
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| Coaches |
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. Lamsa T.
| . Niemela T.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 2nd Period (0 - 0)
- 11:03, Ruohomaa M. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (0 - 2)
- 07:18, 0 - 1, Strand A. (G), Haatanen A. (A),
- 09:06, Beaucage A. (2 min),
- 10:46, 0 - 2, Sund T. (G), Henman L. (A),
- 13:54, Sund T. (2 min),
- 19:11, (2 min),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lukko won 2.Lukko is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).Recently, Lukko has had a series of away games. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lukko won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 58:59. (average 2.9:3).Including home matches between the teams, Lukko won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 36:28. (average 3.3:2.5).
Standings
| | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Ilves | 12 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 36:24 | 26 |
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| 6 | Lukko | 11 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 29:23 | 20 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Lukko - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 41.97%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.
Ilves - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 35.28%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Finnish SM-liiga | | | 14.03.26 | Lukko - Ilves | 4:1 | | 17.02.26 | Ilves - Lukko | 3:2 | | 04.10.25 | Lukko - Ilves | 1:0 | | 20.09.25 | Ilves - Lukko | 6:3 | | 25.04.25 | Lukko - Ilves | 4:5 OT | | 25.02.25 | Ilves - Lukko | 5:1 | | 27.12.24 | Lukko - Ilves | 5:3 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;