Match Info

FINLAND: Mestis

Date: 13 February 2025, Thursday

Location: Imatran jäähalli (Imatra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+


	Imatran Ketterä		Hokki

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.18	6.75	9
				Watch
	1.18	5.8	9.5
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.18 ↓ (1.36)	6.28 ↑ (5.1)	9.25 ↑ (5.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 10.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Imatran Ketterä
76%

Draw
14.3%

Hokki
9.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.9%

17.8%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.5%

17.4%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Imatran Ketterä has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Imatran Ketterä's performance.

Hokki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hokki might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Imatran Ketterä than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Imatran Ketterä that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hokki than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hokki could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Imatran Ketterä - Hokki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
35. Roos R. (G)	1. Marttinen M. (G)
55. Kenttamaa A. (A)	8. Mykkanen J.
85. Laakso E.	28. Andzans A.
82. Sinkkonen A.	77. Saarelainen J.
27. Paasovaara E. (C)	19. Homjakovs A.
25. Jamsen J.	63. Jokinen J. (C)
Line 2
7. Parssinen J.	38. Ilvessuo J.
11. Pietila N.	6. Bilgili S.
91. Ronkkonen J.	87. Karasa A.
77. Ruusunen R.	12. Ohtonen J. (A)
	15. Pellikka A.
Line 3
63. Niemi A.	11. Koskenkorva S. (A)
6. Rannisto J.	4. Heiskanen T.
17. Haaparanta M.	27. Aaltonen J.
34. Hameenaho V.	16. Alitalo V.
15. Kaarela E.	14. Heinanen K.
Line 4
41. Gronlund T.	41. Lehtinen E.
19. Heinonen S.	29. Kaski T.
81. Lankinen J. (A)	26. Ojala J.
83. Dvorak A.	23. Kuivas A.
Substitutes
23. Auvinen S. (G)	71. Nikkila N. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (5 - 0)
00:11, 1 - 0, Paasovaara E. (G), Sinkkonen A. (A), Jamsen J. (A2)
03:39, 2 - 0, Ruusunen R. (G), Ronkkonen J. (A), Niemi A. (A2)
09:30, 3 - 0, Ronkkonen J. (G), Jamsen J. (A), Makinen A. (A2)
12:04, 4 - 0, Niemi A. (G), Paasovaara E. (A),
13:24, 5 - 0, Makinen A. (G), Jamsen J. (A), Ronkkonen J. (A2)
2nd Period (5 - 0)
01:21, 6 - 0, Jamsen J. (G), Pietila N. (A), Parssinen J. (A2)
04:30, 7 - 0, Pietila N. (G), Jamsen J. (A), Parssinen J. (A2)
07:23, 8 - 0, Sinkkonen A. (G), Heinonen S. (A), Laakso E. (A2)
08:23, 9 - 0, Paasovaara E. (G), Parssinen J. (A), Sinkkonen A. (A2)
14:36, 10 - 0, Jamsen J. (G), Makinen A. (A), Rannisto J. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
07:51, 10 - 1, Alitalo V. (G), Heinanen K. (A),
10:59, 11 - 1, Heinonen S. (G), Dvorak A. (A),
18:41, 12 - 1, Heinonen S. (G), Laakso E. (A), Ronkkonen J. (A2)

Preview

Ketterä is Qualified for Mestis (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ketterä won 4.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Ketterä could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Hokki have a series of guest games.

In this match Ketterä is certain favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Ketterä won 18 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 85:40 (average 4.3:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Ketterä won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 44:18 (average 4.4:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Imatran Ketterä
Finnish Mestis
08.02.25	Imatran Ketterä - Hermes Kokkola	6:5 OT ✺
07.02.25	Imatran Ketterä - Jokerit	3:2 ✺
05.02.25	Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - Imatran Ketterä	4:3 OT ✺
01.02.25	Hermes Kokkola - Imatran Ketterä	5:2 ✺
31.01.25	IPK - Imatran Ketterä	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLLL
- Hokki
Finnish Mestis
12.02.25	Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - Hokki	6:2 ✺
08.02.25	RoKi - Hokki	4:2 ✺
07.02.25	Hokki - KeuPa	3:2 ✺
05.02.25	IPK - Hokki	1:2 ✺
01.02.25	Kiekko-Vantaa - Hokki	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Mestis
30.11.24	Imatran Ketterä - Hokki	4:1
13.11.24	Hokki - Imatran Ketterä	3:5
19.10.24	Hokki - Imatran Ketterä	2:3 penalties
01.10.24	Imatran Ketterä - Hokki	1:5
06.02.24	Hokki - Imatran Ketterä	1:5
17.01.24	Imatran Ketterä - Hokki	9:0
24.11.23	Hokki - Imatran Ketterä	2:5

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