Match Info

FINLAND: Mestis

Date: 12 February 2025, Wednesday

Location: PKS Areena (Joensuu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+


	Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat		Hokki

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.38	5.5	5.9
	1.35	5.01	5.27
	1.39	5.42	6	Watch
	1.36	5.4	6.43	Watch
	1.38	5.5	5.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.63)	5.37 ↑ (4.5)	5.9 ↑ (4.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat
67.2%

Draw
17.2%

Hokki
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

20.7%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

20.1%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat's performance.

Hokki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hokki might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hokki than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hokki could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Joensuun Kiekko Pojat - Hokki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Markkanen J. (G)	1. Marttinen M. (G)
22. Mikkola N.	8. Mykkanen J.
4. Kindl J.	28. Andzans A.
11. Taskula J.	77. Saarelainen J.
92. Kokkola T.	19. Homjakovs A.
61. Brygger J. (A)	63. Jokinen J. (C)
Line 2
3. Liiri N.	38. Ilvessuo J.
6. Lauri O.	6. Bilgili S.
14. Sedlacek I.	87. Karasa A.
93. Sille T.	12. Ohtonen J. (A)
29. Lohisalo J.	15. Pellikka A.
Line 3
24. Juvonen J.	11. Koskenkorva S. (A)
84. Gronlund N.	4. Heiskanen T.
44. Nieminen K.	27. Aaltonen J.
27. Uski O. (A)	16. Alitalo V.
67. Merilainen N.	14. Heinanen K.
Line 4
26. Lehikoinen A.	41. Lehtinen E.
19. Isiguzo P. (C)	29. Kaski T.
28. Suvanto N.	23. Kuivas A.
72. Viitala J.
Substitutes
33. Ahopelto J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
03:37, 1 - 0, Sedlacek I. (G),
04:35, 2 - 0, Uski O. (G), Kindl J. (A), Kokkola T. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
09:01, 3 - 0, Viitala J. (G), Lehikoinen A. (A), Isiguzo P. (A2)
18:55, 3 - 1, Aaltonen J. (G), Alitalo V. (A), Homjakovs A. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 1)
04:28, 4 - 1, Isiguzo P. (G), Gronlund N. (A), Suvanto N. (A2)
05:15, 4 - 2, Alitalo V. (G), Mykkanen J. (A),
12:57, 5 - 2, Suvanto N. (G), Isiguzo P. (A), Viitala J. (A2)
14:32, 6 - 2, Uski O. (G), Kokkola T. (A), Kindl J. (A2)

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches JoKP won 3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

JoKP could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Hokki have a series of guest games.

In this match JoKP is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches JoKP won 15 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 82:57 (average 4.1:2.9).

Including matches at home between the teams JoKP won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 47:25 (average 4.7:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat
Finnish Mestis
07.02.25	Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - Hermes Kokkola	2:3 ✺
05.02.25	Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - Imatran Ketterä	4:3 OT ✺
01.02.25	KeuPa - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat	0:1 ✺
31.01.25	Hermes Kokkola - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat	2:1 ✺
25.01.25	Hokki - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat	3:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWWLL
- Hokki
Finnish Mestis
08.02.25	RoKi - Hokki	4:2 ✺
07.02.25	Hokki - KeuPa	3:2 ✺
05.02.25	IPK - Hokki	1:2 ✺
01.02.25	Kiekko-Vantaa - Hokki	5:1 ✺
31.01.25	Jokerit - Hokki	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Mestis
25.01.25	Hokki - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat	3:2 OT
11.01.25	Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - Hokki	4:2
15.11.24	Hokki - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat	3:1
26.10.24	Hokki - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat	3:4
18.09.24	Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - Hokki	4:2
07.03.24	Hokki - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat	2:4
21.11.23	Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - Hokki	4:1

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