Match Info
Mestis - Play Offs - Semi-finalsDate: 18 March 2026, WednesdayLocation: Veikkaus Arena (Helsinki)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
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Jokerit |
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Kiekko-Vantaa |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.42 |
5 |
5 |
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 |
1.42 |
5.2 |
5.5 |
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 |
1.31 |
5.68 |
5.96 |
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 |
1.26 |
5.84 |
9.35 |
 Watch |
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1.4 |
4.75 |
5.5 |
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 |
1.38 |
5.1 |
5.96 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.37 ↓
(1.46) |
5.26 ↑
(4.87) |
6.21 ↑
(5.38) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
- The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Jokerit
67.6% | Draw
17.5% | Kiekko-Vantaa
14.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jokerit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)Kiekko-Vantaa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jokerit than the current prediction. (-7.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jokerit that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kiekko-Vantaa than the current prediction. (+3.5%)Jokerit - Kiekko Vantaa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1 
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Lineups
| Line 1 |
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30.  Vehvilainen V. (G)
| 35. Varis K. (G)
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73. Tuhkanen O.
| 3. Pakaslahti A.
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52. Tuomola R.
| 43. Niemelainen A.
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71. Heinonen S.
| 13. Tenhovuori N.
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22. Forslund A.
| 25. Pitkanen K.
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74. Henriksson J.
| 11. Gustafsson R.
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| Line 2 |
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12.  Tumanovs M.
| 27. Rikkila H.
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47. Forsblom S. (C)
| 5. Ulander E. (C)
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25. Leskinen V.
| 94. Nordgren N. (A)
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92. Mustonen A.
| 22. Turunen R. (A)
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26. Kangasniemi O.
| 8. Saarelainen M.
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| Line 3 |
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53. Elorinne A. (A)
| 18. Kettunen E.
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41. Manninen O. (A)
| 38. Hellman V.
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29. Kallio B.
| 47. Kuhta V.
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19. Nalli M.
| 45. Maansaari O.
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80. Vainikainen V.
| 28. Tolppola V.
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| Line 4 |
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2. Rantakari O.
| 4. Nyman N.
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20. Lahnaviik R.
| 81. Menna M.
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16. Henritius T.
| 24. Fagerstrom J.
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14. Liuksiala J.
| 62. Iso-Kuortti P.
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| Substitutes |
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32. Anttila E. (G)
| 31. Joenpolvi L. (G)
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (4 - 0)
- 01:30, 1 - 0, Vainikainen V. (G), Heinonen S. (A), Forslund A. (A2)
- 07:26, 2 - 0, Heinonen S. (G), Henriksson J. (A), Forslund A. (A2)
- 15:57, 3 - 0, Henriksson J. (G), Tuomola R. (A), Forslund A. (A2)
- 18:05, 4 - 0, Heinonen S. (G), Liuksiala J. (A), Forslund A. (A2)
- 2nd Period (0 - 1)
- 13:14, 4 - 1, Saarelainen M. (G), Nordgren N. (A), Turunen R. (A2)
- 3rd Period (2 - 1)
- 09:06, 4 - 2, Gustafsson R. (G), Pitkanen K. (A), Tenhovuori N. (A2)
- 17:17, 5 - 2, Mustonen A. (G), Leskinen V. (A), Liuksiala J. (A2)
- 19:03, 6 - 2, Heinonen S. (G), Rantakari O. (A), Mustonen A. (A2)
Preview
Jokerit leads series 2-0. Third leg.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jokerit won 5.Jokerit is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).In recent matches, Kiekko-Vantaa has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Jokerit may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Jokerit is considered a favorite.We predict that Jokerit will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jokerit won 16 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 86:36. (average 4.3:1.8).Including home matches between the teams, Jokerit won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 42:16. (average 4.2:1.6).
Standings
| | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
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| 2 | K-Vantaa | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26:21 | 20 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Finnish Mestis | | | 16.03.26 | Kiekko-Vantaa - Jokerit | 3:4 | | 14.03.26 | Jokerit - Kiekko-Vantaa | 6:2 | | 17.02.26 | Jokerit - Kiekko-Vantaa | 4:1 | | 28.12.25 | Kiekko-Vantaa - Jokerit | 2:4 | | 27.12.25 | Jokerit - Kiekko-Vantaa | 5:2 | | 21.11.25 | Kiekko-Vantaa - Jokerit | 0:6 | | 01.11.25 | Kiekko-Vantaa - Jokerit | 1:4 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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