The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kiekko-Vantaa 20.3%
Draw 19.8%
Jokerit 59.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.6%
22%
53.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.2%
24.3%
48.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kiekko-Vantaa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
Jokerit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jokerit's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kiekko-Vantaa than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kiekko-Vantaa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jokerit than the current prediction. (-11.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jokerit, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Kiekko Vantaa - Jokerit Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
35. Varis K. (G)
30. Vehvilainen V. (G)
27. Rikkila H.
73. Tuhkanen O.
43. Niemelainen A.
52. Tuomola R.
13. Tenhovuori N.
71. Heinonen S.
25. Pitkanen K.
22. Forslund A.
11. Gustafsson R.
74. Henriksson J.
Line 2
3. Pakaslahti A.
12. Tumanovs M.
4. Nyman N.
47. Forsblom S. (C)
94. Nordgren N. (C)
25. Leskinen V.
22. Turunen R. (A)
92. Mustonen A.
8. Saarelainen M.
26. Kangasniemi O.
Line 3
18. Kettunen E.
53. Elorinne A. (A)
38. Hellman V.
41. Manninen O. (A)
28. Tolppola V.
29. Kallio B.
45. Maansaari O.
19. Nalli M.
81. Menna M. (A)
80. Vainikainen V.
Line 4
29. Tiusanen E.
2. Rantakari O.
47. Kuhta V.
20. Lahnaviik R.
24. Fagerstrom J.
16. Henritius T.
62. Iso-Kuortti P.
14. Liuksiala J.
Substitutes
31. Joenpolvi L. (G)
32. Anttila E. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
07:37, 0 - 1, Forslund A. (G),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
04:27, 1 - 1, Saarelainen M. (G), Nordgren N. (A), Rikkila H. (A2)
08:20, 1 - 2, Forsblom S. (G), Henritius T. (A), Liuksiala J. (A2)
14:20, 2 - 2, Hellman V. (G), Pakaslahti A. (A), Iso-Kuortti P. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
08:03, 2 - 3, Liuksiala J. (G), Kallio B. (A), Nalli M. (A2)
Preview
Jokerit leads series 3-0. Fourth leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kiekko-Vantaa won 0.
Kiekko-Vantaa has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Jokerit is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
In this match, Jokerit is seen as the favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kiekko-Vantaa won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 34:90. (average 1.7:4.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Kiekko-Vantaa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:42. (average 1.8:4.7).
Finland
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Varis K. (G) 
Tumanovs M. 
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