Match Info

VHL

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Ledovy Dvorets (Neftekamsk) 🌤️ ...


	Toros Neftekamsk		Chelmet

	1	X	2
	2.51	3.9	2.47
	2.48	3.94	2.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.54)	3.92 ↑ (3.82)	2.45 ↑ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Toros Neftekamsk
37.7%

Draw
24%

Chelmet
38.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.8%

24.5%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

27.1%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toros Neftekamsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Chelmet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toros Neftekamsk than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelmet than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Toros Neftekamsk - Chelmet Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Toros (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

#ad

Lineups

Line 1
49. Braginsky D. (G)	30. Utenkov D. (G)
85. Budnitsky V.	18. Mikanovich D.
89. Shcherbakov N.	22. Filatov A.
44. Khvorov N.	97. Matyushin A.
22. Sorokin Y. (A)	46. Shaveko V.
79. Nabiev A.	98. Kolodiy L.
Line 2
52. Kolganov A.	77. Tertyshny A.
9. Orlov G.	43. Rodionov M.
93. Gimbatov R.	29. Mokin M. (A)
81. Volokitin P. (A)	37. Mits Z.
17. Sychyov V.	14. Zinovyev I. (C)
Line 3
4. Chebotaryov V. (C)	73. Fedoseyev Y.
3. Shatilo I.	90. Klimontov K. (A)
38. Skoropad N.	34. Gusmanov F.
72. Zavizhsky M.	95. Aglamzyanov R.
80. Galiyev E.	10. Nizameyev A.
Line 4
33. Agafonov M.	25. Fakhrutdinov R.
36. Gunkin Y.	48. Pronichkin A.
10. Kolesnikov S.	17. Yekimov N.
25. Valeyev T.	16. Shen A.
56. Suvorov A.	36. Shubin D.
Substitutes
1. Yelin I. (G)	93. Mosharov D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
11:09, 0 - 1, Gusmanov F. (G), Nizameyev A. (A), Rodionov M. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 3)
04:35, 0 - 2, Kolodiy L. (G), Rodionov M. (A),
06:35, 0 - 3, Yekimov N. (G), Fedoseyev Y. (A), Shubin D. (A2)
07:57, 1 - 3, Valeyev T. (G),
15:18, 1 - 4, Mits Z. (G),
3rd Period (2 - 0)
06:42, 2 - 4, Nabiev A. (G), Khvorov N. (A), Chebotaryov V. (A2)
09:37, 3 - 4, Galiyev E. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toros won 2.

In recent matches, Toros has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Chelmet is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Chelmet may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Toros has had a series of away games.

Recently, Chelmet has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toros won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 47:50. (average 2.4:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Toros won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:18. (average 2.3:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
15	Toros Neftekamsk	17	8	0	3	6	38:40	19
30	Chelmet Chelyabinsk	14	2	1	2	9	24:55	8

Last Results with these Odds

Toros Neftekamsk - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 36.81%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toros Neftekamsk
VHL
07.03.26	Izhstal - Toros Neftekamsk	3:1 ✺
05.03.26	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Toros Neftekamsk	1:0 ✺
03.03.26	Molot Perm - Toros Neftekamsk	0:3 ✺
22.02.26	Kristall Saratov - Toros Neftekamsk	6:2 ✺
20.02.26	Dizel Penza - Toros Neftekamsk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LLWLW
- HC Chelmet
VHL
04.03.26	Chelmet - Kristall Saratov	4:2 ✺
02.03.26	Chelmet - Dizel Penza	6:4 ✺
28.02.26	Chelmet - Ryazan	1:2 ✺
26.02.26	Chelmet - AKM	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Chelny - Chelmet	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
10.09.25	Chelmet - Toros Neftekamsk	4:2
23.12.24	Chelmet - Toros Neftekamsk	6:3
24.11.24	Toros Neftekamsk - Chelmet	4:3 penalties
14.02.24	Toros Neftekamsk - Chelmet	2:1
10.09.23	Chelmet - Toros Neftekamsk	3:2
17.02.23	Chelmet - Toros Neftekamsk	5:2
04.09.22	Toros Neftekamsk - Chelmet	1:2 OT

Upcoming Matches