Match Info

VHL

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Ledovy Dvorets (Izhevsk)


	Izhstal		Kristall Saratov

	1	X	2
	1.84	4.09	3.55
	1.85	4.15	3.51	Watch
	1.73	4.3	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.18)	4.18 ↑ (3.5)	3.5 ↑ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Izhstal
51.3%

Draw
22.2%

Kristall Saratov
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

26.6%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

26%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Izhstal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Izhstal's performance.

Kristall Saratov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Izhstal than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Izhstal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kristall Saratov than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Izhstal - Kristall Saratov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
43. Volkov G. (G)	1. Grischenko A. (G)
10. Astashevsky S.	51. Asylayev N.
19. Axyonov A.	9. Balabolkin I.
59. Dolgopyatov N.	83. Boldyrev D.
17. Dyuryagin D.	21. Chervontsev N.
23. Glebov G.	78. Chufarov A.
90. Korbit Y.	69. Egorov E.
7. Kudryashov I.	19. Gusev A.
45. Nazarko A.	23. Kormilov D.
99. Ogirchuk D.	24. Koryagin V.
26. Petrikov Y.	29. Krasnov I.
36. Poyarkov D.	61. Kulagin A.
21. Pugachyov A.	89. Larichev I.
27. Pukelo K.	97. Osadchy V.
88. Rymarev Y.	74. Perelyavev S.
57. Yepishchev I.	91. Podorozhnikov A.
41. Yerofeyev A.	71. Polshakov Z.
3. Yuzlenko Y.	32. Semeneko M.
50. Zhdanov Y.	25. Shcherbatov A.
	92. Vyalov F.
	3. Zhilyakov B.
Substitutes
34. Tabatchikov V. (G)	30. Yeryomenko M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
14:58, 1 - 0, Yerofeyev A. (G), Astashevsky S. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
16:24, 1 - 1, Podorozhnikov A. (G), Balabolkin I. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
07:00, 2 - 1, Rymarev Y. (G), Ogirchuk D. (A), Yepishchev I. (A2)
16:08, 2 - 2, Perelyavev S. (G), Filin F. (A),
Overtime (0 - 1)
04:10, 2 - 3, Balabolkin I. (G), Koryagin V. (A), Perelyavev S. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Izhstal won 3.

Izhstal is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Kristall Saratov is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Kristall Saratov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Izhstal has had a series of home games.

Izhstal could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Izhstal will win today's game, with odds of 1.9.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Izhstal won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 41:40. (average 3.2:3.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Izhstal won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:19. (average 3.1:2.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Kristall Saratov - the odds 3.02 are the expected chance of winning is 30.79%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Izhstal Izhevsk
VHL
02.10.25	Izhstal - Dizel Penza	4:2 ✺
30.09.25	Izhstal - Ryazan	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Izhstal - AKM	3:1 ✺
20.09.25	Izhstal - Molot Perm	0:3 ✺
18.09.25	Izhstal - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.9 WWWLW
- Kristall Saratov
VHL
02.10.25	Toros Neftekamsk - Kristall Saratov	5:1 ✺
30.09.25	Molot Perm - Kristall Saratov	4:2 ✺
28.09.25	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Kristall Saratov	3:2 penalties ✺
24.09.25	Kristall Saratov - Gornyak-UGMK	2:6 ✺
22.09.25	Kristall Saratov - Chelmet	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
16.12.24	Izhstal - Kristall Saratov	3:2
06.12.24	Kristall Saratov - Izhstal	0:3
29.01.24	Izhstal - Kristall Saratov	2:5
22.09.23	Kristall Saratov - Izhstal	5:4 OT
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
25.08.23	Izhstal - Kristall Saratov	5:4 OT
VHL
12.09.16	Kristall Saratov - Izhstal	1:3
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
25.08.16	Izhstal - Kristall Saratov	3:2

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