Match Info

VHL

Date: 2 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Ledovy Dvorets (Izhevsk)


	Izhstal		Dizel Penza

	1	X	2
	3.04	3.95	2.06
	3.34	3.98	1.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↓ (3.2)	3.97 ↑ (3.6)	2 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Izhstal
29.4%

Draw
23.6%

Dizel Penza
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

26%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

25.2%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Izhstal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Dizel Penza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Izhstal than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dizel Penza than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Izhstal - Dizel Penza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Skovronsky A. (G)	31. Kudashev D. (G)
3. Yuzlenko Y.	83. Sukhov S.
26. Petrikov Y. (A)	6. Lukichyov A.
17. Dyuryagin D.	23. Sidlyarov D. (C)
10. Astashevsky S.	47. Bobylyov V.
41. Yerofeyev A.	10. Popov D.
Line 2
50. Zhdanov Y.	68. Rudakov G.
23. Glebov G. (C)	75. Pogorishny O. (A)
88. Rymarev Y.	17. Shiksatdarov I.
57. Yepishchev I.	11. Makhanovsky P. (A)
99. Ogirchuk D.	71. Kolmykov M.
Line 3
75. Vinogradov A. (A)	98. Lyulko V.
45. Nazarko A.	49. Denisevich B.
77. Khisamutdinov A.	41. Lukin V.
27. Pukelo K.	19. Ryzhkov M.
19. Axyonov A.	97. Borisenkov A.
Line 4
11. Slepkov I.	25. Kulikovskiy A.
21. Pugachyov A.	33. Galiyev M.
36. Poyarkov D.	69. Boluchevsky A.
59. Dolgopyatov N.	13. Zakirov T.
Substitutes
43. Volkov G. (G)	27. Arzamastsev A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
03:53, 1 - 0, Zhdanov Y. (G), Dyuryagin D. (A),
04:32, 2 - 0, Yepishchev I. (G), Nazarko A. (A), Rymarev Y. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
02:22, 3 - 0, Ogirchuk D. (G),
02:47, 3 - 1, Popov D. (G), Bobylyov V. (A), Sidlyarov D. (A2)
03:34, 3 - 2, Kulikovskiy A. (G), Ryzhkov M. (A), Lukin V. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
19:59, 4 - 2, Dyuryagin D. (G), Yerofeyev A. (A), Yuzlenko Y. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Izhstal won 1.

Recent performances by Izhstal have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Dizel is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Izhstal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Izhstal has had a series of home games.

Dizel could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Izhstal won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 42:62. (average 2.1:3.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Izhstal won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:26. (average 2.1:2.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Izhstal - the odds 3.2 are the expected chance of winning is 29.3%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Izhstal Izhevsk
VHL
30.09.25	Izhstal - Ryazan	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Izhstal - AKM	3:1 ✺
20.09.25	Izhstal - Molot Perm	0:3 ✺
18.09.25	Izhstal - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	3:0 ✺
14.09.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Izhstal	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WWLWL
- Dizel Penza
VHL
30.09.25	Toros Neftekamsk - Dizel Penza	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	Molot Perm - Dizel Penza	2:3 ✺
26.09.25	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Dizel Penza	1:2 ✺
22.09.25	Dizel Penza - Gornyak-UGMK	3:1 ✺
20.09.25	Dizel Penza - Chelmet	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
12.12.24	Izhstal - Dizel Penza	4:2
02.12.24	Dizel Penza - Izhstal	2:1
17.01.24	Dizel Penza - Izhstal	4:2
04.10.23	Izhstal - Dizel Penza	0:4
30.01.23	Izhstal - Dizel Penza	0:3
24.09.22	Dizel Penza - Izhstal	3:1
04.12.21	Izhstal - Dizel Penza	3:2 OT

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