Match Info
Mestis - Play Offs - Quarter-finalsDate: 7 March 2026, SaturdayLocation: Rajupaja Areena (Turku)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
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TuTo |
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Kiekko-Vantaa |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
- The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
TuTo 41% | Draw 22.6% | Kiekko-Vantaa 36.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
TuTo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Kiekko-Vantaa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for TuTo than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kiekko-Vantaa than the current prediction. (+3.3%) banner 
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Lineups
| Line 1 |
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30. Selin L. (G)
| 23. Auvinen S. (G)
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48. Vuorela J. (A)
| 3. Pakaslahti A.
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63. Reini R.
| 43. Niemelainen A.
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15. Markkula S. (C)
| 13. Tenhovuori N.
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11. Valila E. (A)
| 25. Pitkanen K.
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22. Karnaranta V.
| 11. Gustafsson R.
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| Line 2 |
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44. Vuori T.
| 4. Nyman N.
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5. Karppinen I.
| 5. Ulander E. (C)
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23. Trakht D.
| 94. Nordgren N. (A)
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34. Hameenaho V.
| 45. Maansaari O.
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21. Virta S.
| 8. Saarelainen M.
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| Line 3 |
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7. Vare S.
| 18. Kettunen E.
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62. Kulmala F.
| 38. Hellman V.
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18. Samitis K.
| 47. Kuhta V.
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24. Pennanen A.
| 24. Fagerstrom J.
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14. Lindholm V.
| 28. Tolppola V.
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| Line 4 |
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3. Alapuranen O.
| 29. Tiusanen E.
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54. Tervo E.
| 62. Iso-Kuortti P.
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72. Huumo V.
| 44. Laakso A.
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51. Rannikko O.
| 81. Menna M. (A)
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| Substitutes |
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31. Helomaa J. (G)
| 35. Varis K. (G)
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (1 - 3)
- 00:49, 0 - 1, Maansaari O. (G), Pakaslahti A. (A), Pitkanen K. (A2)
- 04:23, 1 - 1, Karnaranta V. (G), Reini R. (A), Valila E. (A2)
- 09:46, 1 - 2, Hellman V. (G), Pitkanen K. (A), Menna M. (A2)
- 09:56, 1 - 3, Tenhovuori N. (G), Pitkanen K. (A), Gustafsson R. (A2)
- 2nd Period (0 - 2)
- 11:57, 1 - 4, Gustafsson R. (G), Tolppola V. (A), Menna M. (A2)
- 13:19, 1 - 5, Nordgren N. (G), Niemelainen A. (A), Saarelainen M. (A2)
- 3rd Period (0 - 0)
Preview
K-Vantaa leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TuTo won 2.Both teams have been playing unpredictably. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.We predict that TuTo will win today's game, with odds of 2.22.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, TuTo won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 67:67. (average 3.4:3.4).Including home matches between the teams, TuTo won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 37:29. (average 3.7:2.9).
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Last Results with these Odds
Kiekko-Vantaa - the odds 2.53 are the expected chance of winning is 36.71%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Finnish Mestis | | | 06.03.26 | Kiekko-Vantaa - TuTo | 5:6 OT | | 04.03.26 | TuTo - Kiekko-Vantaa | 4:6 | | 02.03.26 | Kiekko-Vantaa - TuTo | 6:1 | | 28.02.26 | Kiekko-Vantaa - TuTo | 2:5 | | 03.01.26 | TuTo - Kiekko-Vantaa | 0:3 | | 02.01.26 | Kiekko-Vantaa - TuTo | 4:2 | | 13.12.25 | Kiekko-Vantaa - TuTo | 4:2 |
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