The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kärpät 53.4%
Draw 22.2%
KooKoo 24.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
51.9%
23.7%
24.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.2%
25%
25.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kärpät has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
The chances for KooKoo have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kärpät than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for KooKoo than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Kärpät - KooKoo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
41. Rubin N. (G)
30. Patrikainen J. (G)
21. Matinmikko A.
39. Nousiainen K.
25. Paaso A.
3. Pelli A.
16. Okany A.
82. Meskanen V.
33. Hirvonen R.
71. Siikonen M. (C)
82. Pakkila E.
24. Miettinen V.
Line 2
9. Soini K.
7. Parssinen J.
26. Tichacek J.
8. Pakaslahti A.
93. Kantner M.
15. Jaakola O.
31. Koivistoinen E. (A)
70. Davidsson M.
73. Erholtz E. (C)
25. Holmstrom A.
Line 3
3. Kokkonen L.
17. Grondahl A.
2. Rissanen R.
77. Puhakka V.
11. Tornqvist H.
88. Rooba R. (A)
19. Tikka T.
22. Luoto O. (A)
27. Ratinen S.
55. Gallo V.
Line 4
61. Salmela T. (A)
10. Sulku S.
62. Nilsson W.
6. Riekkinen J.
80. Korpimaki M.
20. Valkeejarvi S.
8. Tieksola T.
27. Makinen A.
9. Miettinen V.
Substitutes
37. Erholtz A.
34. Randelin E. (G)
32. Vedenpaa V. (G)
Coaches
. Karjalainen P.
. Suikkanen K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 1)
04:39, Salmela T. (2 min),
04:45, 0 - 1, Rooba R. (G), Miettinen V. (A), Meskanen V. (A2)
09:44, Pelli A. (2 min),
16:44, Riekkinen J. (2 min),
17:57, 1 - 1, Hirvonen R. (G), Tichacek J. (A), Nilsson W. (A2)
18:25, 2 - 1, Tikka T. (G), Soini K. (A), Ratinen S. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
00:24, Paaso A. (2 min),
08:45, Rissanen R. (2 min),
09:11, 2 - 2, Miettinen V. (G), Siikonen M. (A),
09:50, 2 - 3, Jaakola O. (G), Holmstrom A. (A), Davidsson M. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
10:13, Gallo V. (2 min),
17:57, 3 - 3, Erholtz E. (G), Matinmikko A. (A), Hirvonen R. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (1 - 0)
1, Miettinen V. (Penalty Shot),
1, Koivistoinen E. (Penalty Shot),
2, Davidsson M. (Penalty Shot),
2, Okany A. (Penalty Shot),
3, Holmstrom A. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 17th in the Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kärpät won 3.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Kärpät may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Kärpät has faced a series of away games on the road.
Bookmakers give the edge to Kärpät for this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Kärpät has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 65:62 (averaging 3.3:3.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Kärpät against this opponent, the record stands at 9 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 38:31 goals (averaging 3.5:2.8 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
4
Karpat
19
7
4
4
4
52:50
33
17
KooKoo
18
2
1
2
13
44:75
10
Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now
KooKoo: 0.86%
Last Results with these Odds
Kärpät - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 51.87%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
KooKoo - the odds 3.82 are the expected chance of winning is 24.44%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.