Match Info
LiigaDate: 4 March 2026, WednesdayLocation: Oulun Energia Areena (Oulu)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
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Kärpät |
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KooKoo |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
3.6 |
4.75 |
1.73 |
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 |
3.4 |
4.5 |
1.78 |
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3.25 |
3.85 |
2.04 |
 Watch |
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3.38 |
3.82 |
1.94 |
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3.4 |
3.9 |
1.95 |
Watch |
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3.1 |
3.9 |
1.85 |
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3.11 |
4.33 |
1.96 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.32 ↓
(3.44) |
4.15 ↓
(4.19) |
1.89 ↑
(1.85) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
- The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Kärpät
28.1% | Draw
22.5% | KooKoo
49.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kärpät has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)KooKoo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kärpät than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for KooKoo than the current prediction. (-4%)Kärpät - KooKoo Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Kärpät (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kärpät (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3 
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Lineups
| Line 1 |
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41.  Rubin N. (G)
| 34.  Randelin E. (G)
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25. Paaso A.
| 43. Loponen K.
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26.  Tichacek J.
| 41. Berger J.
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38. Raty Aku
| 82. Meskanen V.
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33. Hirvonen R.
| 71. Siikonen M. (A)
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18. Antti-Roiko A.
| 88.  Rooba R. (A)
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| Line 2 |
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55. Ohtamaa A. (C)
| 28. Ahlroth J.
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4. Ruotsalainen V.
| 42. Suomi J.
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93. Kantner M.
| 55.  Gallo V.
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11. Virta P. (A)
| 11. Mazura T.
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73. Erholtz E. (A)
| 24. Miettinen V.
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| Line 3 |
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58. Hakanpaa J.
| 17. Grondahl A.
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61. Salmela T.
| 4. Nykyri N.
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12. Stalberg S.
| 18. Oden J.
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19. Tikka T.
| 13. Paajanen O. (C)
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13. Junttila J.
| 22. Luoto O.
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| Line 4 |
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27. Jonsson S.
| 7. Parssinen J.
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51. Pietila B.
| 15. Jaakola O.
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28. Ojantakanen K.
| 27. Makinen A.
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59. Hermonen J.
| 10. Sulku S.
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| Substitutes |
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31. Vedenpaa V. (G)
| 35. Myllykangas A. (G)
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| Coaches |
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. Karjalainen P.
| . Myrra J.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (0 - 1)
- 15:24, Parssinen J. (2 min),
- 18:47, 0 - 1, Siikonen M. (G), Berger J. (A), Grondahl A. (A2)
- 19:15, Virta P. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (1 - 2)
- 05:30, 1 - 1, Antti-Roiko A. (G), Raty Aku (A), Hirvonen R. (A2)
- 06:08, 1 - 2, Paajanen O. (G), Luoto O. (A), Oden J. (A2)
- 06:08, Pietila B. (2 min),
- 13:19, 1 - 3, Gallo V. (G), Mazura T. (A),
- 3rd Period (2 - 0)
- 12:36, Paajanen O. (2 min),
- 16:48, 2 - 3, Kantner M. (G), Erholtz E. (A),
- 18:19, 3 - 3, Virta P. (G), Erholtz E. (A), Raty Aku (A2)
- Overtime (0 - 0)
- 03:21, Meskanen V. (Penalty Shot),
- Penalties (2 - 1)
- 1, Raty Aku (Penalty Shot),
- 1, Siikonen M. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Hirvonen R. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Miettinen V. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Kantner M. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Paajanen O. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kärpät won 2.Kärpät has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).KooKoo is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).KooKoo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. KooKoo will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kärpät won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 63:64. (average 3.2:3.2).Including home matches between the teams, Kärpät won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 34:28. (average 3.4:2.8).
Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now
KooKoo: 1.09%
Standings
| | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
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| 5 | Karpat | 12 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 34:32 | 21 |
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| 17 | KooKoo | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 22:47 | 4 |
Last Results with these Odds
Kärpät - the odds 3.44 are the expected chance of winning is 27.17%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Finnish SM-liiga | | | 18.02.26 | KooKoo - Kärpät | 4:3 | | 28.11.25 | KooKoo - Kärpät | 4:5 penalties | | 26.09.25 | Kärpät - KooKoo | 3:6 | | 19.02.25 | Kärpät - KooKoo | 2:1 | | 10.01.25 | KooKoo - Kärpät | 5:3 | | 27.11.24 | KooKoo - Kärpät | 2:1 | | 26.10.24 | Kärpät - KooKoo | 3:2 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
