Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 21 August 2026, Friday


	Kärpät		Luleå

	1	X	2
	2.35	4.20	2.25
	2.32	4.10	2.43
	2.40	3.77	2.36
	2.4	4.06	2.35
	2.35	3.70	2.30
	2.38	3.84	2.34
	2.2	3.75	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.26)	3.92 ↓ (4.03)	2.33 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kärpät
38.4%

Draw
23%

Luleå
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

22.4%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kärpät has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Luleå has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Kärpät - Luleå Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Luleå will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
41. Rubin N. (G)	34. Lassinantti J. (G)
21. Matinmikko A. (A)	27. Laaksonen O.
26. Tichacek J.	29. Gustafsson E.
93. Kantner M.	72. Tardif B.
33. Hirvonen R.	15. Granberg D.
73. Erholtz E. (C)	. Brannstrom I.
Line 2
43. Loponen K.	26. Sjostrom O.
2. Rissanen R.	39. Sjalin P.
8. Tieksola T.	. Puustinen V.
31. Koivistoinen E. (A)	96. Andreasson P.
82. Pakkila E.	76. Levtchi A.
Line 3
9. Soini K.	23. Sellgren J.
25. Paaso A.	82. Leskinen O.
11. Tornqvist H.	51. Nurmi M.
16. Okany A.	. Koppanen J.
27. Ratinen S.	86. Brome M.
Line 4
18. Antti-Roiko A.	8. Hakansson W.
4. Ruotsalainen V.	89. Ihs Wozniak J.
62. Nilsson W.	25. Eriksson F.
19. Tikka T.	6. Hedqvist I.
59. Hermonen J.
Substitutes
32. Vedenpaa V. (G)	38. Lovgren D.
	1. Markstrom A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
00:10, 1 - 0, Tichacek J. (G), Hirvonen R. (A),
00:44, 1 - 1, Leskinen O. (G), Andreasson P. (A), Puustinen V. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
19:32, 2 - 1, Ruotsalainen V. (G), Erholtz E. (A), Loponen K. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
02:19, 2 - 2, Brannstrom I. (G), Andreasson P. (A), Sjostrom O. (A2)
15:27, 3 - 2, Paaso A. (G), Erholtz E. (A), Kantner M. (A2)
19:41, 3 - 3, Koppanen J. (G), Laaksonen O. (A), Sjostrom O. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
01:43, 3 - 4, Sjostrom O. (G), Koppanen J. (A), Brome M. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kärpät won 2.

Luleå may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Kärpät won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 42:39. (average 2.3:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Kärpät won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 27:16. (average 3:1.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Kärpät - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 40.07%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Luleå - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 37.52%, but this team recently wins 26% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kärpat Oulu
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
20.08.26	JYP - Kärpät	3:0 ✺
14.08.26	Kärpät - Vaasan Sport	0:0 ✺
13.08.26	Kärpät - KalPa	3:2 penalties ✺
Finnish SM-liiga
17.03.26	Vaasan Sport - Kärpät	1:3 ✺
14.03.26	Kärpät - HIFK	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTWWL
- Luleå HF
SHL
15.04.26	Skellefteå - Luleå	2:1 ✺
13.04.26	Luleå - Skellefteå	3:2 ✺
11.04.26	Luleå - Skellefteå	1:3 ✺
09.04.26	Skellefteå - Luleå	5:0 ✺
07.04.26	Skellefteå - Luleå	4:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Ice Hockey
14.08.25	Luleå - Kärpät	4:0
23.08.24	Kärpät - Luleå	3:2
22.08.24	Luleå - Kärpät	4:2
08.09.23	Kärpät - Luleå	0:1
30.08.23	Luleå - Kärpät	4:5 penalties
26.08.22	Kärpät - Luleå	3:1
18.08.22	Luleå - Kärpät	1:0

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