The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kärpät U20 50%
Draw 20.9%
Vaasan Sport U20 29.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
51.9%
20.8%
27.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.6%
21.8%
28.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kärpät U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
Vaasan Sport U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kärpät U20 than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vaasan Sport U20 than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Kärpät U20 - Vaasan Sport U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Key Events of the Match
1st Period (4 - 0)
03:27, 1 - 0, Erholtz A. (G), Jurvelin L. (A), Kylmala O. (A2)
05:48, 2 - 0, Jurvelin L. (G), Erholtz A. (A), Apukka M. (A2)
14:53, 3 - 0, Gussander E. (G), Kahkonen V. (A), Jaako J. (A2)
18:00, 4 - 0, Ruotsalainen V. (G),
2nd Period (3 - 0)
04:15, 5 - 0, Karassaari J. (G), Kahkonen V. (A),
09:09, 6 - 0, Viuhkola N. (G), Apukka M. (A), Pitkanen E. (A2)
13:00, 7 - 0, Toivonen A. (G), Viuhkola N. (A), Makkonen I. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
03:20, 7 - 1, Sjoman J. (G), Hannula A. (A), Mourujarvi E. (A2)
18:40, 7 - 2, Mourujarvi E. (G), Sjoman J. (A), Vatanen N. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kärpät U20 won 2.
Kärpät U20 has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by Vaasan Sport U20 have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Vaasan Sport U20 could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Kärpät U20 is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Our forecast points to a victory for Kärpät U20 in today's match, at odds of 1.75.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Kärpät U20 has recorded 13 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 80:47 (averaging 4:2.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Kärpät U20 against this opponent, the record stands at 9 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 50:26 goals (averaging 4.5:2.4 per game).
Watch
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