Match Info

EUROPE: ALPS HOCKEY LEAGUE

Date: 23 November 2023, Thursday


	KAC II		Merano Junior

	1	X	2
	3.6	4.6	1.62
	3.55	4.65	1.62
	3.71	5.59	1.64
	3.71	5.59	1.65
	3.75	5.5	1.6
	3.78	4.75	1.61
	3.55	4.9	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.66 ↑ (3.32)	5.08 ↑ (4.84)	1.62 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.75

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KAC II
25.1%

Draw
18.1%

Merano Junior
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

19.1%

53.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

18.1%

56%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KAC II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Merano Junior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KAC II than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merano Junior than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

KAC II - Merano Junior Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches KAC II won 3.

KAC II has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Merano is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Merano is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches KAC II won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 31-21.

Including matches at home between the teams KAC II won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 17-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC KAC II
Alps Hockey League
18.11.23	Zell am See - KAC II	3:2 ✺
16.11.23	KAC II - Ritten-Renon	1:5 ✺
04.11.23	EHC Lustenau - KAC II	6:2 ✺
03.11.23	Tigers Bregenzerwald - KAC II	7:2 ✺
28.10.23	KAC II - Celje	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Merano Junior
Alps Hockey League
18.11.23	Merano Junior - Unterland Cavaliers	8:4 ✺
16.11.23	Fassa - Merano Junior	3:0 ✺
04.11.23	Celje - Merano Junior	1:4 ✺
01.11.23	Merano Junior - Red Bull Salzburg 2	1:8 ✺
28.10.23	Steel Wings Linz - Merano Junior	4:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Alps Hockey League
12.10.23	Merano Junior - KAC II	4:1
23.02.23	Merano Junior - KAC II	4:8
18.02.23	KAC II - Merano Junior	5:2
27.09.22	KAC II - Merano Junior	9:2
17.09.22	Merano Junior - KAC II	3:2
20.11.21	Merano Junior - KAC II	4:3
16.10.21	KAC II - Merano Junior	3:2

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