Match Info

EUROPE: ALPS HOCKEY LEAGUE

Date: 16 November 2023, Thursday


	Fassa		Merano Junior

	1	X	2
	1.95	4.1	2.8
	2.04	4	2.65
	2.21	4.33	2.74
	2.22	4.18	2.74
	2	4	2.75
	2.25	4.33	2.38
	2.26	4.2	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.69)	4.16 ↓ (5)	2.63 ↓ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fassa
43.1%

Draw
22.1%

Merano Junior
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

18.5%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

19.4%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fassa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fassa's form might have worsened.

Merano Junior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Merano Junior's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fassa than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fassa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merano Junior than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Merano Junior, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Fassa - Merano Junior Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Fassa will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Merano will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Preview

Fassa is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Merano is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fassa will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fassa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Fassa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportiva Hockey Club Fassa
Alps Hockey League
04.11.23	Fassa - Unterland Cavaliers	4:3 OT ✺
01.11.23	Gherdëina - Fassa	4:3 OT ✺
28.10.23	Fassa - Ritten-Renon	1:4 ✺
26.10.23	Vipiteno - Fassa	3:2 ✺
21.10.23	Cortina - Fassa	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLLLL
- Merano Junior
Alps Hockey League
04.11.23	Celje - Merano Junior	1:4 ✺
01.11.23	Merano Junior - Red Bull Salzburg 2	1:8 ✺
28.10.23	Steel Wings Linz - Merano Junior	4:3 OT ✺
26.10.23	Ritten-Renon - Merano Junior	6:3 ✺
21.10.23	Merano Junior - Acroni Jesenice	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.4 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Alps Hockey League
23.09.23	Merano Junior - Fassa	5:4 penalties
03.01.23	Fassa - Merano Junior	2:4
13.10.22	Merano Junior - Fassa	7:3
02.12.21	Merano Junior - Fassa	4:5
02.10.21	Fassa - Merano Junior	2:3

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