Match Info
Liiga - Play Offs - 1/8-finalsDate: 26 March 2026, ThursdayLocation: Olvi Areena (Kuopio)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
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KalPa |
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HIFK |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 4.75
- The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
KalPa 41.3% | Draw 25% | HIFK 33.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KalPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)HIFK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for KalPa than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for HIFK than the current prediction. (+1.8%)KalPa - HIFK Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. HIFK will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 8.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 8.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2 
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Lineups
| Line 1 |
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47. Boyko T. (G)
| 60. Alnefelt H. (G)
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6. Westerlund F.
| 40. Lindbohm P.
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97. Kanak L.
| 6. Sund T.
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20. Klemetti A.
| 29. Repo S.
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71. Curry P. (C)
| 21. Lehtera J. (A)
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46. Soderlund T.
| 52. Palmu P.
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| Line 2 |
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52. Tornberg A.
| 33. Kiviharju A.
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8. Ruotsalainen V.
| 11. Melart I. (A)
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70. Hartikainen T. (A)
| 43. Marleau V.
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16. Okany A.
| 77. Kodytek P.
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42. Kapanen K.
| 71. Makiaho D.
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| Line 3 |
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18. Gallet H.
| 98. Larsen O.
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3. Karlsson A.
| 10. Ragnarsson J.
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22. Borchardt C.
| 81. Pakarinen I. (C)
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12. Saarelainen J.
| 47. Ashbrook T.
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17. Korhonen B. (A)
| 18. Uronen A.
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| Line 4 |
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55. Lappalainen L.
| 28. Ervasti K.
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86. Kombe K.
| 42. Sinivuori L.
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14. Lantta J.
| 15. Somppi O.
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41. Kononen J.
| 90. Salmela S.
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| Substitutes |
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31. Kerkola P. (G)
| 73. Kohonen P. (G)
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| Coaches |
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. Tervonen S.
| . Jokinen O.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (0 - 1)
- 06:09, 0 - 1, Larsen O. (G),
- 14:03, Ervasti K. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (0 - 0)
- 13:39, Lappalainen L. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (2 - 1)
- 00:10, Kodytek P. (5 min),
- 03:21, 1 - 1, Curry P. (G), Soderlund T. (A), Ruotsalainen V. (A2)
- 05:11, 2 - 1, Westerlund F. (G), Klemetti A. (A), Karlsson A. (A2)
- 18:21, 2 - 2, Palmu P. (G), Ervasti K. (A), Marleau V. (A2)
- Overtime (1 - 0)
- 06:57, Curry P. (2 min),
- 09:17, 3 - 2, Kononen J. (G), Ruotsalainen V. (A), Lantta J. (A2)
Preview
Series tied 2-2. Fifth leg.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KalPa won 2.Both teams have been playing unpredictably. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KalPa won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 54:53. (average 2.7:2.7).Including home matches between the teams, KalPa won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 31:26. (average 3.1:2.6).
Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now
IFK Helsinki: 4.75%
Standings
| | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
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| 13 | KalPa | 11 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 27:29 | 13 |
| 14 | IFK Helsinki | 11 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 31:34 | 13 |
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Last Results with these Odds
KalPa - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 39.38%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
HIFK - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 36.7%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Finnish SM-liiga | | | 24.03.26 | HIFK - KalPa | 1:4 | | 23.03.26 | HIFK - KalPa | 1:0 OT | | 21.03.26 | KalPa - HIFK | 1:4 | | 20.03.26 | KalPa - HIFK | 4:1 | | 11.03.26 | KalPa - HIFK | 1:4 | | 07.01.26 | HIFK - KalPa | 5:1 | | 17.10.25 | HIFK - KalPa | 3:2 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;