The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lukko 50.2%
Draw 21.8%
KalPa 28%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.9%
22.6%
25.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54%
23.5%
24.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lukko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
KalPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukko than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for KalPa than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Lukko - KalPa Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 1.5, 1st Period - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Salonen D. (G)
47. Boyko T. (G)
9. Stenqvist J.
6. Westerlund F.
38. Almari N.
97. Kanak L.
16. Beaucage A.
16. Okany A.
93. Ruohomaa M. (A)
71. Curry P. (C)
25. Saarela A.
20. Klemetti A.
Line 2
86. Gelinas E. (C)
8. Ruotsalainen V.
5. Peters A.
18. Gallet H.
88. Morand A.
70. Hartikainen T. (A)
21. Ford C.
12. Saarelainen J.
18. Jandric S.
46. Soderlund T.
Line 3
34. Viitasalo N.
52. Tornberg A.
56. Olsson A.
7. Mononen V.
27. Westerholm Po.
22. Borchardt C.
14. Intonen A.
17. Korhonen B. (A)
90. Hamalainen L.
42. Kapanen K.
Line 4
40. Daschke D.
55. Lappalainen L.
48. Ikonen H. (A)
86. Kombe K.
17. Westerholm Pa.
14. Lantta J.
47. Haapanen T.
41. Kononen J.
Substitutes
31. Ortio J. (G)
31. Kerkola P. (G)
Coaches
. Lamsa T.
. Tervonen S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 1)
01:19, 1 - 0, Ford C. (G), Peters A. (A), Jandric S. (A2)
03:16, Curry P. (2 min),
04:57, 2 - 0, Viitasalo N. (G), Morand A. (A), Ford C. (A2)
07:06, 2 - 1, Borchardt C. (G), Korhonen B. (A), Kapanen K. (A2)
11:04, Morand A. (2 min),
12:41, Westerholm Pa. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 3)
03:06, Westerholm Pa. (2 min),
04:07, 2 - 2, Curry P. (G), Soderlund T. (A), Ruotsalainen V. (A2)
10:11, Kanak L. (2 min),
11:05, 2 - 3, Ruotsalainen V. (G), Korhonen B. (A), Kapanen K. (A2)
12:51, Lappalainen L. (2 min),
17:34, 2 - 4, Kononen J. (G), Kombe K. (A), Tornberg A. (A2)
18:26, 3 - 4, Gelinas E. (G), Morand A. (A), Westerholm Pa. (A2)
19:05, Olsson A. (2 min),
19:05, Curry P. (2 min),
19:05, Curry P. (2 min),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
00:43, 4 - 4, Saarela A. (G), Westerholm Po. (A), Ruohomaa M. (A2)
03:51, 4 - 5, Borchardt C. (G), Ruotsalainen V. (A), Gallet H. (A2)
06:05, Lappalainen L. (2 min),
08:35, 5 - 5, Ikonen H. (G), Haapanen T. (A), Peters A. (A2)
09:03, Haapanen T. (2 min),
Overtime (1 - 0)
02:05, 6 - 5, Morand A. (G), Saarela A. (A), Almari N. (A2)
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lukko won 3.
In recent matches, Lukko has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
KalPa is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
KalPa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Lukko will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lukko won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 47:55. (average 2.4:2.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Lukko won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 28:26. (average 3.1:2.9).
Finland
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Salonen D. (G) 
Boyko T. (G) 
Stenqvist J. 
Kanak L. 
Curry P. (C) 
Gallet H. 
Kombe K. 
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