The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
KalPa 48.1%
Draw 24%
Vaasan Sport 27.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
53.4%
24.1%
22.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.9%
25.8%
24.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KalPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that KalPa's form might have worsened.
Vaasan Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vaasan Sport's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for KalPa than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vaasan Sport than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
KalPa - Vaasan Sport Predictions
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. KalPa will win (votes: 2 - 100%).
New Consensus by Tipsters:
1X2 - Kalpa (1.60) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Preview
A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 14th and 15th in the Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KalPa won 5.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
KalPa could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Vaasa has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with KalPa holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, KalPa has recorded 15 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 69:48 (averaging 3.5:2.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for KalPa against this opponent, the record stands at 9 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 38:22 goals (averaging 3.8:2.2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
14
KalPa
15
6
0
1
8
37:37
19
15
Vaasan Sport
16
5
1
2
8
30:46
19
Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now
Vaasan Sport: 0.67%
Last Results with these Odds
KalPa - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 53.4%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.