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Current Win Probability
Vaasan Sport 33.1%
Draw 23.6%
SaiPa 43.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
30.2%
25.7%
44.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.8%
27%
41.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vaasan Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
SaiPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vaasan Sport than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for SaiPa than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Vaasan Sport - SaiPa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
53. Harkonen M. (G)
31. Grigals G. (G)
8. Viljanen V.
2. Peski A.
55. Koivisto M. (C)
22. Aho K.
44. Harrison B.
10. Emanuelsson E.
89. Palve O.
28. Intonen A.
24. Levanen E.
11. Fridrich P.
Line 2
7. Ervasti K.
17. Svensk V.
62. Akerstrom S.
50. Salminen S. (C)
86. Granath P.
62. Tauslahti M.
28. Sundstrom J. (A)
41. Zabaneh N.
17. Diaco G.
92. Zezelj A.
Line 3
16. Johnsson T.
14. Kramer B. (A)
26. Burger E.
55. Trejbal O.
22. Walther I.
75. Siikanen P.
9. Grainger L.
34. Perttu M.
3. Bertrand C.
70. Naukkarinen J. (A)
Line 4
63. Heikkinen L. (A)
4. Heikkila J.
12. Straka A.
57. Hokkanen O.
71. Nieminen V.
81. Klintrup E.
Substitutes
6. Kangas K.
19. Moilanen V.
31. Ortio J. (G)
30. Piiroinen K. (G)
10. Pietila B.
Coaches
. Mikkola L.
. Helminen R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
01:45, 0 - 1, Zabaneh N. (G), Salminen S. (A), Zezelj A. (A2)
08:16, Zabaneh N. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
02:36, Grainger L. (2 min),
03:25, 0 - 2, Siikanen P. (G), Moilanen V. (A), Heikkila J. (A2)
09:07, Intonen A. (2 min),
13:36, Salminen S. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
01:23, 0 - 3, Fridrich P. (G), Emanuelsson E. (A), Aho K. (A2)
07:25, Zezelj A. (2 min),
08:16, Zabaneh N. (Penalty Shot),
16:09, Heikkinen L. (2 min),
18:20, 1 - 3, Heikkinen L. (G), Palve O. (A), Harrison B. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vaasa won 0.
Vaasa has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
SaiPa is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
SaiPa may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Both teams have recently been through a succession of home fixtures.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with SaiPa holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Vaasa has recorded 5 wins, 0 draws, and 15 losses, with a goal aggregate of 49:63 (averaging 2.5:3.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Vaasa against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with 29:32 goals (averaging 2.9:3.2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
15
Vaasan Sport
17
5
1
2
9
32:51
19
Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now
Saipa: 5.33% Vaasan Sport: 0.8%
Last Results with these Odds
Vaasan Sport - the odds 3.09 are the expected chance of winning is 30.22%, but this team recently wins 21% of matches with these odds.
SaiPa - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 44.05%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Finland
Sweden
Watch
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Harkonen M. (G) 
Grigals G. (G) 
Peski A. 
Emanuelsson E. 
Fridrich P. 
Granath P. 
Zezelj A. 
Kramer B. (A) 
Bertrand C. 
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