The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
KalPa 40.3%
Draw 24.6%
Pelicans 35.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
36.3%
25.2%
38.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.5%
26.7%
34.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KalPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
Pelicans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for KalPa than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pelicans than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
50%
25%
KalPa - Pelicans Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. KalPa will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Pelicans will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
35. Korhonen R. (G)
45. Olkinuora J. (G)
8. Ruotsalainen V.
15. Lerby C.
18. Jung S.
65. Nutivaara M. (A)
20. Klemetti A.
27. Lind O.
12. Saarelainen J.
95. Batna O.
42. Kapanen K.
9. Fortier G.
Line 2
57. Lyytinen J.
4. Johannesen J.
97. Kanak L.
47. Jordan M. (C)
22. Borchardt C.
37. Dudas A.
91. Vilen E.
7. Stapley B.
86. Kombe K.
82. Kettunen A.
Line 3
55. Lappalainen L. (C)
44. Kousa M.
4. Jokinen M.
49. Amhamdi O.
54. Piitulainen J. (A)
12. Hamalainen S.
85. Somppi O.
87. Myklukha O.
70. Hartikainen T. (A)
91. Pohjalainen A.
Line 4
34. Timofejev D.
83. Luhanka E.
3. Karlsson A.
55. Falk H.
21. Miilunpohja R.
74. Teutari E.
89. Ketola J.
23. Forsberg C. (A)
41. Kononen J.
89. Kolehmainen E.
Substitutes
40. Lekkas S. (G)
32. Bartosak P. (G)
Coaches
. Tervonen S.
. Kapanen S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
03:59, (2 min),
04:07, 0 - 1, Fortier G. (G), Dudas A. (A), Stapley B. (A2)
13:12, Pohjalainen A. (2 min),
20:00, Kettunen A. (2 min),
2nd Period (3 - 0)
00:43, 1 - 1, Hartikainen T. (G), Ruotsalainen V. (A), Piitulainen J. (A2)
02:09, Lappalainen L. (2 min),
06:37, 2 - 1, Borchardt C. (G), Vilen E. (A), Gallet H. (A2)
06:58, 3 - 1, Hartikainen T. (G), Somppi O. (A), Piitulainen J. (A2)
10:23, Kononen J. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
03:42, Vilen E. (2 min),
05:57, Kousa M. (2 min),
Preview
A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 15th in the Relegation and 13th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KalPa won 4.
KalPa is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Pelicans has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Pelicans may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, KalPa has recorded 13 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 52:40 (averaging 2.6:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for KalPa against this opponent, the record stands at 9 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 36:17 goals (averaging 4:1.9 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
11
KalPa
17
8
0
1
8
46:40
25
12
Pelicans
16
7
1
1
7
40:35
24
Last Results with these Odds
Pelicans - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 38.43%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.
Finland
Sweden
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Korhonen R. (G) 
Lerby C. 
Jung S. 
Batna O. 
Fortier G. 
Johannesen J. 
Borchardt C. 
Kombe K. 
Myklukha O. 
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