The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
KalPa 33.7%
Draw 24.5%
Ässät 41.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.8%
24.9%
34.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41%
25.1%
33.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KalPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that KalPa's form might have worsened.
Ässät has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ässät's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for KalPa than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for KalPa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ässät than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ässät, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
KalPa - Ässät Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
35. Korhonen R. (G)
30. Bednar J. (G)
8. Ruotsalainen V.
79. Nikkila P. (A)
18. Gallet H.
61. Jurgens C.
20. Klemetti A.
47. Pinard S.
12. Saarelainen J.
10. Hillis C.
42. Kapanen K.
34. Doucet A.
Line 2
57. Lyytinen J.
37. Maatta R. (A)
97. Kanak L.
7. Pulli J.
22. Borchardt C.
16. Noiva N.
91. Vilen E.
19. Juhola P.
41. Kononen J.
36. Bjorkqvist K.
Line 3
55. Lappalainen L. (C)
55. Riihinen P.
4. Jokinen M.
80. Nurmi P.
54. Piitulainen J. (A)
8. Olofsson J.
85. Somppi O.
14. Sebok B.
70. Hartikainen T. (A)
63. Kostilainen S.
Line 4
3. Karlsson A.
28. Saarimaki M.
86. Kombe K.
18. Ylitalo O.
89. Ketola J.
74. Tiivola P. (C)
21. Miilunpohja R.
92. Alasiurua A.
Substitutes
40. Lekkas S. (G)
26. Kim A.
34. Timofejev D.
33. Taponen R. (G)
Coaches
. Tervonen S.
. Pikkarainen J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
07:55, Nikkila P. (2 min),
14:55, Lappalainen L. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
03:50, Klemetti A. (2 min),
04:08, 0 - 1, Bjorkqvist K. (G), Kostilainen S. (A), Nikkila P. (A2)
10:59, Vilen E. (2 min),
17:24, Gallet H. (2 min),
Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 13th and 3rd in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KalPa won 2.
KalPa is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Ässät have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, KalPa has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 46:53 (averaging 2.3:2.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for KalPa against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 24:27 goals (averaging 2.4:2.7 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
8
Assat
19
9
1
2
7
44:47
31
11
KalPa
17
8
0
1
8
46:40
25
Last Results with these Odds
KalPa - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 40.82%, but this team recently wins 26% of matches with these odds.
Ässät - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 34.26%, but this team recently wins 24% of matches with these odds.
Finland
Sweden
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Korhonen R. (G) 
Bednar J. (G) 
Gallet H. 
Pinard S. 
Borchardt C. 
Olofsson J. 
Sebok B. 
Kombe K. 
Kim A. 
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