Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday


	KalPa U20		Ässät U20

	1	X	2
	2.77	3.85	1.95
	2.92	4.16	1.98	Watch
	2.88	4	1.91
	2.93	4.2	1.93
	2.85	4.5	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↓ (2.92)	4.14 ↓ (4.16)	1.92 ↓ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KalPa U20
31.4%

Draw
21.7%

Ässät U20
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

22.1%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

23.4%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KalPa U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Ässät U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KalPa U20 than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ässät U20 than the current prediction. (-3%)

KalPa U20 - Ässät U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
10:30, 0 - 1, Kamarainen R. (G), Eskola L. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 4)
00:44, 0 - 2, Tikkanen T. (G), Eskola L. (A), Koski L. (A2)
02:27, 0 - 3, Koski L. (G), Eskola L. (A), Huhtanen E. (A2)
03:49, 0 - 4, Lahtinen T. (G), Kim A. (A), Kamarainen R. (A2)
17:47, 0 - 5, Saarimaki M. (G), Nurmi J. (A), Soikkeli V. (A2)
18:26, 1 - 5, Pakarinen R. (G), Kokkonen L. (A), Miilunpohja R. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KalPa U20 won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

Ässät U20 might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KalPa U20 won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 63:72. (average 3.2:3.6).

Including home matches between the teams, KalPa U20 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 27:42. (average 2.5:3.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
9	KalPa U20	10	2	5	0	3	33:31	16
14	Assat U20	12	1	4	1	6	32:39	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KalPa U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
23.01.26	SaiPa U20 - KalPa U20	8:2 ✺
17.01.26	Lukko U20 - KalPa U20	3:4 penalties ✺
16.01.26	TPS U20 - KalPa U20	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Ilves U20 - KalPa U20	7:5 ✺
04.01.26	KalPa U20 - HPK U20	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWLLW
- Ässät U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
23.01.26	Mikkelin Jukurit U20 - Ässät U20	4:5 ✺
17.01.26	Ässät U20 - Mikkelin Jukurit U20	3:1 ✺
16.01.26	Jokerit U20 - Ässät U20	3:2 ✺
10.01.26	HIFK U20 - Ässät U20	1:7 ✺
09.01.26	TPS U20 - Ässät U20	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
21.09.25	Ässät U20 - KalPa U20	6:3
15.03.25	KalPa U20 - Ässät U20	2:0
12.03.25	Ässät U20 - KalPa U20	3:6
28.09.24	KalPa U20 - Ässät U20	2:3
21.09.24	Ässät U20 - KalPa U20	3:4
01.02.24	KalPa U20 - Ässät U20	3:4 OT
27.01.24	KalPa U20 - Ässät U20	0:1

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